Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bournemouth welcome Sunderland on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth), and the referee is C. Pawson. Bournemouth (46%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Sunderland win, a draw. Loses: Sunderland lose.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Bournemouth lie 8th, having collected 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L); Sunderland lie 20th, having collected 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Bournemouth 0, Sunderland 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Bournemouth: no absences. Sunderland will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.14 | 3.43 | 4.15 |
| Market average | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.78 |
| Lowest odds | 2.04 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.32 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.08 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.77 | 53.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.54 | 26.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.91 | 48.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bournemouth 8th (12 points), Sunderland 20th (5 points).
- Absences: Bournemouth 0, Sunderland 0.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: injuries and missing players
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
Sunderland
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bournemouth
Home and away
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: last matches of both teams
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Sunderland +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 2.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our estimate gives Bournemouth a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sunderland 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Referee: C. Pawson.
Who will be missing?
Bournemouth: no absences. Sunderland: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.22) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.85).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (11.9%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.