Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Praha welcome Bournemouth on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Letná (Prague), and the referee is Erik Lambrechts. Bournemouth (68%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Bournemouth win by 2 or more. Half lost (half the stake back): Bournemouth win by 1. Loses: a draw, Bournemouth lose.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sparta Praha lie 22nd, having collected 4 points after 4 matches (1W 1D 2L); Bournemouth lie 2nd, having collected 12 points (4W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Sparta Praha average 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 2.7 for and 0.3 against for Bournemouth.
- Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 1W 1D 1L, goals 5–3; Bournemouth: 3W 0D 0L, goals 8–1.
What to expect
In our view Bournemouth hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Sparta Praha 5–3, Bournemouth 8–1.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Sparta Praha 7, Bournemouth 8.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sparta Praha: M. Andersen, A. Karabec, J. Mercado, O. Penxa, M. Rynes, A. Sevinsky, E. Uchenna. Bournemouth will be without: M. Aarons, J. Araujo, F. Forster, D. Jebbison, V. Milosavljevic, J. Sánchez, A. Scott, A. Toth. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 8.00 | 5.26 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 7.52 | 4.98 | 1.39 |
| Lowest odds | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.36 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.74 | 53.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.01 | 46.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sparta Praha 0–2 Bournemouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sparta Praha 22nd (4 points), Bournemouth 2nd (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 1W 1D 1L (5:3), Bournemouth 3W 0D 0L (8:1).
- Absences: Sparta Praha 7, Bournemouth 8.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: injuries and missing players
Sparta Praha
- M. Andersenknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Karabecankle injury · will miss the match
- J. Mercadocalf injury · will miss the match
- O. Penxaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Rynesankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Sevinskyinjury · will miss the match
- E. Uchennagroin injury · will miss the match
Bournemouth
- M. Aaronsnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Araujothigh injury · will miss the match
- F. Forsternot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Jebbisonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- V. Milosavljevicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Sáncheznot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Scottthigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Tothmuscle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Sparta Praha
Home and away
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: last matches of both teams
Sparta Praha
Bournemouth
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Sparta PrahaLLDWBournemouthWWWWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Over 2.5 goals (1.60).
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our estimate gives Sparta Praha a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bournemouth 68%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Stadion Letná, Prague. Referee: Erik Lambrechts.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Praha: M. Andersen, A. Karabec, J. Mercado, O. Penxa, M. Rynes, A. Sevinsky, E. Uchenna. Bournemouth: M. Aarons, J. Araujo, F. Forster, D. Jebbison, V. Milosavljevic, J. Sánchez, A. Scott, A. Toth. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.