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Premier League · Matchweek 9 · 31 October 2026 · 15:00

Coventry vs Sunderland: prediction, odds and betting tip – 31 October 2026, Premier League

3–1
1Coventry3.23
XDraw3.42
2Sunderland2.41

Top price available · Updated 31/10/26, 09:22

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Coventry welcome Sunderland on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry), and the referee is S. Hooper. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Coventry vs Sunderland: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Coventry +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Coventry win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Coventry lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.80
Chance 54% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Coventry vs Sunderland: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Coventry lie 16th, having collected 9 points after 10 matches (3W 0D 7L); Sunderland lie 20th, having collected 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Coventry average 0.8 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 0.8 for and 1.8 against for Sunderland.
  3. Form in the competition. Coventry: 2W 0D 6L, goals 6–15; Sunderland: 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–14.
  4. Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Coventry have taken 6 wins to Sunderland's 1 win, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 24–14.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.

Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Coventry, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 13; Coventry 6 wins, 6 draws, Sunderland 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Coventry 6–15, Sunderland 6–14.
  4. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
  5. Unavailable: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.89). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Coventry: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Sunderland will be without: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Coventry vs Sunderland: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.233.422.41
Market average3.093.292.34
Lowest odds2.783.052.26
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.3172.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.082.0047.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.891.8352.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.623.4527.4%
BTTS – yes1.801.7553.5%
BTTS – no2.102.0146.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 09:22. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Coventry 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Coventry 16th (9 points), Sunderland 20th (5 points).
  • Form in the competition: Coventry 2W 0D 6L (6:15), Sunderland 1W 2D 5L (6:14).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Coventry 6W 6D 1L, goals 24–14.
  • Absences: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.

Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?

Coventry31%
Draw29%
Sunderland40%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Coventry vs Sunderland: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals72.6% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Over 1.5 goals72.1% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.33
Likely
Draw or Sunderland (X2)69.3% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams to score: yes53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.89
Possible
Over 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.08
Outsider
Both teams to score: no46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.10
Outsider
Sunderland to win40.4% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.41
Outsider
Coventry to win30.7% · fair odds 3.25 · best 3.23
Outsider
Draw28.8% · fair odds 3.47 · best 3.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals27.4% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.62
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.03
probability of over 54.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.68 · Under 2.13
probability of over 56.0%

Correct score tips

1 : 112.7%
0 : 111.1%
1 : 09.4%
1 : 28.6%
0 : 08.2%
0 : 27.5%

Coventry vs Sunderland: injuries and missing players

Coventry

  • A. Amendacalf injury · will miss the match
  • J. Ecclesankle injury · will miss the match
  • L. Woolfendenknee injury · will miss the match
  • H. Wrightmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • B. Thomascalf injury · doubtful

Sunderland

  • D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Mukieleabsence · doubtful
  • J. Ta Biinjury · doubtful

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Everton104-4-212:1016
6Liverpool94-3-211:915
7Brentford93-5-116:914
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry103-0-710:199
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Coventry

6 NovLEverton 3–1 Coventry
31 OctWCoventry 3–1 Sunderland
24 OctLCoventry 0–1 Fulham
19 OctLTottenham 3–1 Coventry
12 OctWCoventry 4–1 Newcastle

Sunderland

5 NovLSunderland 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb
31 OctLCoventry 3–1 Sunderland
25 OctDSunderland 0–0 Leeds
22 OctDLech Poznań 1–1 Sunderland
18 OctLBournemouth 2–0 Sunderland

Home and away

Coventry at home5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 7–9
Sunderland away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 6–13

Coventry vs Sunderland: last matches of both teams

Coventry

L 6/11/26 · Everton 3–1 Coventry
L 24/10/26 · Coventry 0–1 Fulham
L 19/10/26 · Tottenham 3–1 Coventry
W 12/10/26 · Coventry 4–1 Newcastle

Sunderland

L 5/11/26 · Sunderland 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb
D 25/10/26 · Sunderland 0–0 Leeds
D 22/10/26 · Lech Poznań 1–1 Sunderland
L 18/10/26 · Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland

Team comparison

CoventrySunderland
86%Form14%
67%Attack33%
52%Defence48%
62%Head to head38%
67%Goals33%
63.2%Overall36.8%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

CoventryLWLLW
SunderlandLDLLL

Head to head

All matches
6Coventry
6Draws
1Sunderland
31/10/26 · Coventry 3–1 Sunderland
13/5/25 · Sunderland 1–1 Coventry
9/5/25 · Coventry 1–2 Sunderland
15/3/25 · Coventry 3–0 Sunderland
9/11/24 · Sunderland 2–2 Coventry
23/12/23 · Sunderland 0–3 Coventry

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.6%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Coventry vs Sunderland?

Coventry +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.80).

Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?

Our estimate gives Coventry a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sunderland 40%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry. Referee: S. Hooper.

Who will be missing?

Coventry: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Sunderland: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.08) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.89).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–0 (9.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Leeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 NovBrighton vs Brentford 8 Nov

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