Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stadium of Light (Sunderland), with Andrea Colombo officiating. The odds point to Sunderland (66%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Sunderland win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Sunderland win by 1. Loses: a draw, Sunderland lose.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sunderland lie 11th, having collected 7 points after 4 matches (2W 1D 1L); Dinamo Zagreb lie 9th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Sunderland average 1.3 goals for and 0.7 against, compared with 1.0 for and 1.3 against for Dinamo Zagreb.
- Form in the competition. Sunderland: 2W 1D 0L, goals 4–2; Dinamo Zagreb: 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
What to expect
In our view Sunderland hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Sunderland 4–2, Dinamo Zagreb 3–4.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Sunderland 9, Dinamo Zagreb 7.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.68). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sunderland: J. Angulo, D. Ballard, A. Browne, H. Diarra, M. Ellborg, R. Mundle, J. Ta Bi, C. Talbi, N. Mukiele. Dinamo Zagreb will be without: S. McKenna, R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic, N. Nsoki, P. Tabinas, F. Topic, S. Radeljic. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.47 | 5.10 | 7.13 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.78 | 6.75 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.64 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.26 | 42.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.55 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.82 | 1.78 | 52.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sunderland 2–0 Dinamo Zagreb, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sunderland 11th (7 points), Dinamo Zagreb 9th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Sunderland 2W 1D 0L (4:2), Dinamo Zagreb 1W 1D 1L (3:4).
- Absences: Sunderland 9, Dinamo Zagreb 7.
Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: injuries and missing players
Sunderland
- J. Angulonot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Brownenot in the squad · will miss the match
- H. Diarramuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Ellborgnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ta Binot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Talbinot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Mukieleconcussion · doubtful
Dinamo Zagreb
- S. McKennanot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Mudrazijanot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Nevisticnot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Nsokinot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Tabinasnot in the squad · will miss the match
- F. Topicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Radeljicnot in the squad · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Sunderland
Home and away
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: last matches of both teams
Sunderland
Dinamo Zagreb
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SunderlandLDWWDinamo ZagrebWLWDReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Sunderland -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our estimate gives Sunderland a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dinamo Zagreb 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Stadium of Light, Sunderland. Referee: Andrea Colombo.
Who will be missing?
Sunderland: J. Angulo, D. Ballard, A. Browne, H. Diarra, M. Ellborg, R. Mundle, J. Ta Bi, C. Talbi, N. Mukiele. Dinamo Zagreb: S. McKenna, R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic, N. Nsoki, P. Tabinas, F. Topic, S. Radeljic. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.82).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.9%), then 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.