Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dinamo Zagreb welcome NEC Nijmegen on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb), and the referee is Manfredas Lukjančukas. Dinamo Zagreb (62%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Dinamo Zagreb win by 2 or more. Stake back: Dinamo Zagreb win by 1. Loses: a draw, Dinamo Zagreb lose.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Dinamo Zagreb lie 9th, having collected 7 points after 4 matches (2W 1D 1L); NEC Nijmegen lie 12th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have taken 0 wins to NEC Nijmegen's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 2–4.
What to expect
In our view Dinamo Zagreb hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.59), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Dinamo Zagreb 0 wins, 0 draws, NEC Nijmegen 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 6.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Dinamo Zagreb: no absences. NEC Nijmegen will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.55 | 4.70 | 5.90 |
| Market average | 1.53 | 4.44 | 5.56 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 3.76 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.59 | 1.53 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.45 | 38.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.32 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.19 | 42.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 16:29. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NEC Nijmegen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dinamo Zagreb 9th (7 points), NEC Nijmegen 12th (7 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Dinamo Zagreb 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
- Absences: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: injuries and missing players
Dinamo Zagreb
- No reported absences
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Dinamo Zagreb
Home and away
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: last matches of both teams
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Dinamo Zagreb -1 (Asian handicap) (2.05); Over 2.5 goals (1.59).
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our estimate gives Dinamo Zagreb a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 17%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb. Referee: Manfredas Lukjančukas.
Who will be missing?
Dinamo Zagreb: no absences. NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.59) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.4%) and 2–0 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.