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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction, odds and betting tip – 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1NEC Nijmegen1.79
XDraw4.25
2Omonia Nicosia4.48

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 16:17

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion de Goffert (Nijmegen), NEC Nijmegen take on Omonia Nicosia, with Goga Kikacheishvili in charge. We make NEC Nijmegen (54%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Omonia Nicosia +0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.95
Chance 51% · confidence medium

Wins: Omonia Nicosia win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Omonia Nicosia lose by 1. Loses: Omonia Nicosia lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.57
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
NEC Nijmegen with over 2.5 goals
2.68
37% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X) at a probability of 78%, with odds of up to 1.25.
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NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. NEC Nijmegen lie 12th, having collected 7 points after 4 matches (2W 1D 1L); Omonia Nicosia lie 18th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, NEC Nijmegen average 1.7 goals for and 2.7 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.1 against for Omonia Nicosia.
  3. Form in the competition. NEC Nijmegen: 1W 1D 1L, goals 5–8; Omonia Nicosia: 4W 1D 2L, goals 11–8.

What to expect

In our view NEC Nijmegen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Scored and conceded in this competition: NEC Nijmegen 5–8, Omonia Nicosia 11–8.
  2. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
  3. Unavailable: NEC Nijmegen 8, Omonia Nicosia 3.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for NEC Nijmegen: M. Bakker, D. Geiger, I. Hansen-Aaroen, E. Mor, B. Nuytinck, P. Sandler, D. Tadic, A. Tahaui. Omonia Nicosia will be without: C. Eiting, F. Kitsos, L. Nego. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.794.254.48
Market average1.744.054.28
Lowest odds1.703.754.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5859.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.3540.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.552.4438.9%
BTTS – yes1.621.5659.8%
BTTS – no2.502.3240.2%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Omonia Nicosia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: NEC Nijmegen 12th (7 points), Omonia Nicosia 18th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: NEC Nijmegen 1W 1D 1L (5:8), Omonia Nicosia 4W 1D 2L (11:8).
  • Absences: NEC Nijmegen 8, Omonia Nicosia 3.

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?

NEC Nijmegen54%
Draw23%
Omonia Nicosia22%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.6% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X)77.8% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams to score: yes59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.62
Possible
NEC Nijmegen to win54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.2% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.50
Outsider
Both teams to score: no40.2% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw23.4% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.25
Outsider
Omonia Nicosia to win22.2% · fair odds 4.51 · best 4.48
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.94 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.4%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.3%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 09.0%
2 : 08.5%
3 : 16.2%
1 : 26.0%

NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: injuries and missing players

NEC Nijmegen

  • M. Bakkernot in the squad · will miss the match
  • D. Geigerinjury · will miss the match
  • I. Hansen-Aaroennot in the squad · will miss the match
  • E. Morgroin injury · will miss the match
  • B. Nuytinckankle injury · will miss the match
  • P. Sandlerinjury · will miss the match
  • D. Tadiccalf injury · will miss the match
  • A. Tahauinot in the squad · will miss the match

Omonia Nicosia

  • C. Eitingknee injury · will miss the match
  • F. Kitsosnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • L. Negomuscle injury · will miss the match

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica44-0-013:312
2Bournemouth44-0-011:212
3Ferencvárosi TC44-0-011:312
4Union Saint-Gilloise43-1-010:210
5Juventus43-1-011:410
6Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
7Bayer Leverkusen43-0-18:19
8Beşiktaş42-1-111:87
9Dinamo Zagreb42-1-15:47
10Levski Sofia42-1-14:37
11Sunderland42-1-14:47
12NEC Nijmegen42-1-18:97
13Lyon42-1-16:77
14AZ Alkmaar42-0-27:46
15Anderlecht42-0-26:36
16OFI42-0-25:46
17Rennes41-3-04:36
18Omonia Nicosia42-0-26:76
19Torreense42-0-27:96
20Real Sociedad41-2-19:45
21Crystal Palace41-2-19:65
22Sparta Praha41-1-26:64
231899 Hoffenheim41-1-26:64
24Sturm Graz41-1-23:64
25Celje41-1-25:94
26Red Bull Salzburg41-1-23:84
27Celta Vigo41-0-34:63
28AC Milan41-0-34:73
29Jagiellonia41-0-34:73
30Plzeň41-0-33:73
31Marseille41-0-32:63
32Celtic41-0-36:113
33Hapoel Beer Sheva40-1-31:81
34Lillestrøm40-1-32:101
35Lech Poznań40-1-32:121
36Ararat-Armenia40-0-44:140

Recent matches

NEC Nijmegen

5 NovWNEC Nijmegen 3–1 Omonia Nicosia
31 OctLHeerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
25 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
22 OctWDinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
18 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard

Omonia Nicosia

5 NovLNEC Nijmegen 3–1 Omonia Nicosia
22 OctLOmonia Nicosia 1–4 Benfica
15 OctWCelje 0–3 Omonia Nicosia
16 SeptWOmonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo
27 AugWOmonia Nicosia 4–2 St. Truiden

Home and away

NEC Nijmegen at home2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 4–2
Omonia Nicosia away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–3

NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: last matches of both teams

NEC Nijmegen

L 31/10/26 · Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
D 25/10/26 · NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
W 22/10/26 · Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
D 18/10/26 · NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard

Omonia Nicosia

L 22/10/26 · Omonia Nicosia 1–4 Benfica
W 15/10/26 · Celje 0–3 Omonia Nicosia
W 16/9/26 · Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo
W 27/8/26 · Omonia Nicosia 4–2 St. Truiden

Team comparison

NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia
31%Form69%
36%Attack64%
47%Defence53%
35.5%Overall64.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

NEC NijmegenWWDL
Omonia NicosiaLLWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?

Omonia Nicosia +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our estimate gives NEC Nijmegen a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Omonia Nicosia 22%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen. Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili.

Who will be missing?

NEC Nijmegen: M. Bakker, D. Geiger, I. Hansen-Aaroen, E. Mor, B. Nuytinck, P. Sandler, D. Tadic, A. Tahaui. Omonia Nicosia: C. Eiting, F. Kitsos, L. Nego. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.62).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.0%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.