Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie, 22 November 2026, 13:30): Sparta Rotterdam +1 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.78. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47. The bookmakers' odds give Sparta Rotterdam 21%, the draw 22% and AZ Alkmaar 57%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Wins: Sparta Rotterdam win, a draw. Stake back: Sparta Rotterdam lose by 1. Loses: Sparta Rotterdam lose by 2 or more.
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sparta Rotterdam lie 11th, having collected 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L); AZ Alkmaar lie 5th, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
What to expect
In our view AZ Alkmaar hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: Sparta Rotterdam 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 63%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. AZ Alkmaar will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.58 | 4.38 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 4.48 | 4.26 | 1.66 |
| Lowest odds | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.71 | 34.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 45.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.58 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points).
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: injuries and missing players
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Home and away
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: last matches of both teams
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Sparta Rotterdam +1 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our estimate gives Sparta Rotterdam a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AZ Alkmaar 57%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 13:30, venue Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.7%), then 1–1 (9.2%) and 0–2 (7.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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