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Eredivisie · Matchweek 12 · 7 November 2026 · 17:45

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction, odds and betting tip – 7 November 2026, Eredivisie

1ADO Den Haag2.55
XDraw3.70
2Sparta Rotterdam2.70

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 06:01

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Our tip for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie, 7 November 2026, 17:45): Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.72. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.50. The bookmakers' odds give ADO Den Haag 38%, the draw 26% and Sparta Rotterdam 36%. The most likely score is 1–1.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.72
Chance 56% · confidence medium

Wins: Sparta Rotterdam win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Sparta Rotterdam lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
Chance 63% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
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ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam preview and prediction

ADO Den Haag host Sparta Rotterdam at the WerkTalent Stadion on 7 November 2026. Both sides sit in the lower half of the Eredivisie table, with ADO struggling at 17th place and Sparta occupying 11th. The match offers a chance for Sparta to extend its recent run of points on the road, while ADO will look to break a poor home record and climb out of the relegation zone.

Form of ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam

In the league ADO Den Haag have collected 6 points from 11 matches (1‑3‑7), scoring 13 and conceding 24, which equals 1.2 goals per game and 2.2 goals against. At home the team has managed 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 12 conceded.

Sparta Rotterdam sit on 12 points from 11 games (3‑3‑5), with 20 goals for and 26 against – 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded per match. Their away form shows 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 11 and letting in 12.

Recent results underline the contrast. ADO’s last five matches are a 1‑0 loss to PEC Zwolle, a 2‑3 defeat at Heerenveen, a 2‑1 win over PSV Eindhoven, a 2‑2 draw with Telstar and a 1‑1 draw with Cambuur. Sparta’s last five comprise a 3‑2 win at Groningen, a 1‑2 loss to Ajax, a 3‑2 victory over Willem II, a 3‑3 draw with GO Ahead Eagles and a 0‑4 defeat at Heerenveen.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: head to head

In the last 16 meetings Sparta have the edge with 8 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats, scoring 27 goals to ADO’s 14. The most recent clash on 12 July 2025 ended 0‑2 in favour of Sparta, and the previous encounter on 19 March 2025 also finished 0‑2 to the visitors.

Other recent meetings include a 1‑1 draw in July 2024, a 2‑0 win for ADO in December 2023, a 1‑2 loss for ADO in August 2023 and a 0‑3 defeat in December 2022.

Absences

  • ADO Den Haag: none reported
  • Sparta Rotterdam: none reported

Odds and handicap lines

Bookmakers give ADO Den Haag a 39 % chance to win (best odds 2.52), a 26 % chance of a draw (best odds 3.70) and a 35 % chance to lose (best odds 2.80). The Asian handicap market shows Sparta at +0.25 with a 55 % implied probability (odds 1.78), while the opposite line (ADO –0.25) carries a 45 % probability (odds 2.19).

Other handicap options highlight Sparta’s slight edge: +0.5 at 60 % (odds 1.60) and +0.75 at 67 % (odds 1.45). The draw‑no‑bet market also favours Sparta, with a 60 % implied chance on the +0.5 line.

Our main tip and second tip

Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 (Asian handicap) – odds 1.78, chance 55 %. Sparta’s superior away record (2‑1‑2) and higher win probability on the +0.25 line justify the selection despite ADO’s home win percentage of 25 %.

Both teams to score – odds 1.50, chance 63 %. Both sides have averaged over one goal per game (ADO 1.2, Sparta 1.8) and the expected goals model predicts 2 goals for each, supporting a high likelihood of both finding the net.

Other bets worth a look

  • Value alternative: Under 3.5 goals – odds 1.60, chance 60 %.
  • Over 1.5 goals: chance 81 % (odds 1.19) – a very safe option.
  • Over 2.5 goals: chance 60 % (odds 1.60) – aligns with the expected total of about 4 goals.
  • Most likely exact scores: 1‑1 (10.8 %), 2‑1 (8.6 %), 1‑2 (8.1 %).

With Sparta holding a statistical edge in the handicap market and both teams likely to score, the match promises at least a couple of goals and a chance for Sparta to secure a narrow advantage.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.553.702.70
Market average2.473.572.62
Lowest odds2.343.352.47
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5760.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.452.3839.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.472.3739.5%
BTTS – yes1.501.4763.4%
BTTS – no2.632.5436.6%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 7L (13:24), Sparta Rotterdam 3W 3D 5L (20:26).
  • H2H: 16 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 4D 8L, goals 14–27.
  • Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, Sparta Rotterdam 0.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

ADO Den Haag38%
Draw26%
Sparta Rotterdam36%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
ADO Den Haag or draw (1X)64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Both teams to score: yes63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.5% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.59
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 2.5 goals39.6% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.47
Outsider
ADO Den Haag to win38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.55
Outsider
Both teams to score: no36.6% · fair odds 2.73 · best 2.63
Outsider
Sparta Rotterdam to win35.8% · fair odds 2.79 · best 2.70
Outsider
Draw26.2% · fair odds 3.81 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.0%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.3%
1 : 07.3%
0 : 17.1%
2 : 26.4%

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: injuries and missing players

ADO Den Haag

  • No reported absences

Sparta Rotterdam

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13PEC Zwolle123-3-613:2412
14NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II120-3-911:403

Recent matches

ADO Den Haag

1 NovLPEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
24 OctLADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
17 OctWADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
19 SeptDADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

Sparta Rotterdam

1 NovWGroningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam
25 OctLSparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax
17 OctWSparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II
10 OctDGO Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam
19 SeptLSparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen

Home and away

ADO Den Haag at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 8–12
Sparta Rotterdam away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 11–12

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: last matches of both teams

ADO Den Haag

L 1/11/26 · PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
L 24/10/26 · ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
W 17/10/26 · ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
D 11/10/26 · Telstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
D 19/9/26 · ADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

Sparta Rotterdam

W 1/11/26 · Groningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam
L 25/10/26 · Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax
W 17/10/26 · Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II
D 10/10/26 · GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam
L 19/9/26 · Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen

Team comparison

ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
42%Form58%
41%Attack59%
62%Defence38%
29%Head to head71%
36%Goals64%
42.5%Overall57.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

ADO Den HaagLLWDD
Sparta RotterdamWLWDL

Head to head

All matches
4ADO Den Haag
4Draws
8Sparta Rotterdam
12/7/25 · ADO Den Haag 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam
19/3/25 · ADO Den Haag 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam
13/7/24 · Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 ADO Den Haag
20/12/23 · ADO Den Haag 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam
1/8/23 · ADO Den Haag 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam
4/12/22 · ADO Den Haag 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Both teams to score (1.50).

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our estimate gives ADO Den Haag a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sparta Rotterdam 36%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Bingoal Stadion, The Hague.

Who will be missing?

ADO Den Haag: no absences. Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.45).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.0%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 NovTwente vs Ajax 8 NovAZ Alkmaar vs Groningen 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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