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Eredivisie · Matchweek 9 · 17 October 2026 · 15:30

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction, odds and betting tip – 17 October 2026, Eredivisie

1ADO Den Haag10.00
XDraw6.76
2PSV Eindhoven1.28

Top price available · Updated 17/10/26, 13:34

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

ADO Den Haag welcome PSV Eindhoven on 17 October 2026 · 15:30 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague), and the referee is Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands. PSV Eindhoven (74%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
PSV Eindhoven -1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.79
Chance 55% · confidence medium

Wins: PSV Eindhoven win by 2 or more. Loses: PSV Eindhoven win by 1, a draw, PSV Eindhoven lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
PSV Eindhoven with over 2.5 goals
1.65
60% · combo fair odds
1–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or PSV Eindhoven (X2) at a probability of 89%, with odds of up to 1.08. Because the result is a short price, we would add a goals tip alongside it.
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ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. ADO Den Haag lie 17th, having collected 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L); PSV Eindhoven lie 3rd, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 2L).

What to expect

In our view PSV Eindhoven hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (8.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

With the result at a short price (1.28), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 74%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
  2. Unavailable: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.76). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for ADO Den Haag: no absences. PSV Eindhoven will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available10.006.761.28
Market average8.786.351.26
Lowest odds8.005.801.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.071.0589.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2574.0%
Under 2.5 goals3.793.5726.0%
Over 3.5 goals1.761.7154.8%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.6%
BTTS – no2.402.3539.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 13:34. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
  • Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

ADO Den Haag11%
Draw15%
PSV Eindhoven74%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals89.3% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.07
Likely
Draw or PSV Eindhoven (X2)89.2% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.08
Likely
PSV Eindhoven to win74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 3.5 goals54.8% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 3.5 goals45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.12
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.79
Outsider
Draw14.8% · fair odds 6.75 · best 6.76
Outsider
ADO Den Haag to win10.8% · fair odds 9.28 · best 10.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.6%

Correct score tips

1 : 28.6%
0 : 28.2%
1 : 38.2%
0 : 37.8%
1 : 16.1%
1 : 45.8%

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: injuries and missing players

ADO Den Haag

  • No reported absences

PSV Eindhoven

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13PEC Zwolle123-3-613:2412
14NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II120-3-911:403

Recent matches

ADO Den Haag

1 NovLPEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
24 OctLADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
17 OctWADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
19 SeptDADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

PSV Eindhoven

4 NovLPSV Eindhoven 1–2 Club Brugge KV
31 OctWPSV Eindhoven 7–0 Willem II
25 OctDPSV Eindhoven 1–1 Feyenoord
20 OctWFC Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
17 OctLADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven

Home and away

ADO Den Haag at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 8–12
PSV Eindhoven away5 matches: 3W 0D 2L, goals 14–8

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: last matches of both teams

ADO Den Haag

L 1/11/26 · PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
L 24/10/26 · ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
D 11/10/26 · Telstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
D 19/9/26 · ADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

PSV Eindhoven

L 4/11/26 · PSV Eindhoven 1–2 Club Brugge KV
W 31/10/26 · PSV Eindhoven 7–0 Willem II
D 25/10/26 · PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Feyenoord
W 20/10/26 · FC Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Both teams to score (1.57).

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our estimate gives ADO Den Haag a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and PSV Eindhoven 74%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands.

Who will be missing?

ADO Den Haag: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 26% (odds 3.79).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–2 (8.6%), then 0–2 (8.2%) and 1–3 (8.2%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 NovTwente vs Ajax 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.