Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） (Alkmaar), AZ Alkmaar take on Juventus, with Damian Sylwestrzak in charge. We make Juventus (49%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. AZ Alkmaar lie 14th, having collected 6 points after 4 matches (2W 0D 2L); Juventus lie 5th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, AZ Alkmaar average 2.0 goals for and 0.7 against, compared with 3.0 for and 1.0 against for Juventus.
- Form in the competition. AZ Alkmaar: 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–2; Juventus: 2W 1D 0L, goals 9–3.
What to expect
In our view Juventus hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: AZ Alkmaar 6–2, Juventus 9–3.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: AZ Alkmaar 5, Juventus 11.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for AZ Alkmaar: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, H. Verhulst, J. Zoet. Juventus will be without: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, A. Milik, D. Rugani, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, E. Zhegrova. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.99 | 3.82 | 2.04 |
| Market average | 3.82 | 3.68 | 1.93 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.78 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.04 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.91 | 32.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.11 | 44.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AZ Alkmaar 14th (6 points), Juventus 5th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: AZ Alkmaar 2W 0D 1L (6:2), Juventus 2W 1D 0L (9:3).
- Absences: AZ Alkmaar 5, Juventus 11.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: injuries and missing players
AZ Alkmaar
- J. Hornkampinjury · will miss the match
- S. Resinkknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Smitinjury · will miss the match
- H. Verhulstnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Zoetnot in the squad · will miss the match
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- W. McKenniegroin injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Ruganinot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
- E. Zhegrovanot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
AZ Alkmaar
Home and away
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: last matches of both teams
AZ Alkmaar
Juventus
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AZ AlkmaarLWWLJuventusWDWWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
AZ Alkmaar or draw (1X) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our estimate gives AZ Alkmaar a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventus 49%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar. Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak.
Who will be missing?
AZ Alkmaar: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, H. Verhulst, J. Zoet. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, A. Milik, D. Rugani, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, E. Zhegrova. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 0–1 (10.0%) and 1–2 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.