Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce), Lecce take on Juventus, with Fabio Maresca in charge. We make Juventus (62%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Lecce win, a draw, Lecce lose by 1. Loses: Lecce lose by 2 or more.
Lecce vs Juventus: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lecce lie 14th, having collected 9 points after 10 matches (3W 0D 7L); Juventus lie 7th, having collected 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lecce average 1.3 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.1 against for Juventus.
- Form in the competition. Lecce: 3W 0D 4L, goals 9–12; Juventus: 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–8.
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Lecce have taken 1 win to Juventus's 10 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–25.
What to expect
In our view Juventus hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (12.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.94), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Lecce 1 win, 4 draws, Juventus 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Lecce 9–12, Juventus 9–8.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus will be without: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lecce vs Juventus: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.80 | 4.40 | 1.58 |
| Market average | 6.42 | 4.15 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 5.99 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 74.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.85 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.97 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.31 | 3.04 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.89 | 49.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 16:39. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lecce 0–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lecce 14th (9 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Lecce 3W 0D 4L (9:12), Juventus 3W 2D 2L (9:8).
- H2H: 15 matches: Lecce 1W 4D 10L, goals 8–25.
- Absences: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lecce vs Juventus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lecce vs Juventus: injuries and missing players
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Lecce
Home and away
Lecce vs Juventus: last matches of both teams
Lecce
Juventus
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LecceLLLWLJuventusWLWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Over 2.5 goals (1.94).
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
Our estimate gives Lecce a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juventus 62%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. Referee: Fabio Maresca.
Who will be missing?
Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.94) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.93).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (12.1%), then 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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