Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 18 October 2026 · 11:30 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine), Udinese take on Lecce, with Marco Guida, Italy in charge. We make Udinese (52%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Udinese vs Lecce: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Udinese lie 20th, having collected 5 points after 11 matches (1W 2D 8L); Lecce lie 14th, having collected 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
What to expect
In our view Udinese hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Lecce, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 47%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
- Unavailable: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 50%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Udinese: no absences. Lecce will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Udinese vs Lecce: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.86 | 3.68 | 4.84 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.55 | 4.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.81 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.55 | 26.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.84 | 50.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 09:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Udinese 1–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 20th (5 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Udinese vs Lecce: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Udinese vs Lecce: injuries and missing players
Udinese
- No reported absences
Lecce
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Udinese
Home and away
Udinese vs Lecce: last matches of both teams
Udinese
Lecce
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Udinese vs Lecce?
Under 2.5 goals (1.87); Udinese to win (1.86).
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
Our estimate gives Udinese a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lecce 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 11:30, venue Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Marco Guida, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: no absences. Lecce: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08) and under 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.5%), then 1–1 (11.9%) and 2–0 (10.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.