Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for AS Roma vs Sassuolo (Serie A, 7 November 2026, 19:45): AS Roma -1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.84. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.67. The bookmakers' odds give AS Roma 73%, the draw 16% and Sassuolo 11%. The most likely score is 2–0.
Wins: AS Roma win by 2 or more. Loses: AS Roma win by 1, a draw, AS Roma lose.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo preview and prediction
AS Roma host Sassuolo at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45, in Serie A Matchweek 11. Roma sit third with 24 points from 10 matches. Sassuolo are 17th on 8 points from the same number of games. That is a long way apart in the table, and the venue, a stadium that holds 68530, will only add to the home side's advantage.
The key facts
- Likely result: AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: AS Roma 3rd (24 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: AS Roma 7W 3D 0L (28:10), Sassuolo 2W 2D 6L (16:26).
- H2H: 24 matches: AS Roma 13W 9D 2L, goals 45–26.
- Absences: AS Roma 0, Sassuolo 5.
Roma winning, Sassuolo still searching
Roma have won four of their last five matches in all competitions, lost none, and scored 18 goals while conceding 7. Their run includes a 3-3 draw away at Napoli and a 5-2 win at Udinese. At home in this league they have 4 wins, 1 draw and no defeats, with 14 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Sassuolo are in a different place. They have won none of their last five, drawn one and lost four, scoring 7 and conceding 17. The most recent was a 2-4 home defeat to Fiorentina. In this competition alone they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats, and away from home they have taken just one point from five games. The table covers only Serie A, while the form lines cover every competition, so the two sets of numbers do not match exactly, but the direction is the same.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
AS Roma
Home and away
Roma have the better recent head-to-head record
In the last 24 meetings, Roma have won 13, drawn 9 and lost only 2 to Sassuolo, scoring 45 goals to their rivals' 26. The two most recent meetings both went Roma's way: a 2-0 home win on 10 January 2026 and a 1-0 away win on 26 October 2025 (the match was 0-1 in Sassuolo's ground, which is how it was recorded). Sassuolo's last win over Roma in this sequence is not among the results we have, so we will not pretend otherwise.
Head to head
All matchesFive Sassuolo players ruled out
Roma have no absentees reported. Sassuolo are missing five players: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca and Y. Paz. For a side already short of results, that is a meaningful list, and we would expect the hosts to press from the first whistle.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: injuries and missing players
AS Roma
- No reported absences
Sassuolo
- I. Konébroken leg · will miss the match
- E. Pieragnoloabsence · will miss the match
- Fali Candéabsence · will miss the match
- D. Bolocaabsence · will miss the match
- Y. Pazabsence · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AS RomaWWDWDSassuoloLLLLDWhat the prices say about this game
The bookmakers make Roma strong favourites. The best odds on an AS Roma win are 1.35, which corresponds to a 72% chance. A draw is priced at 16% (best odds 6.25), and a Sassuolo win at 11% (best odds 9.18). The margin on the match result is 5.7%.
The Asian handicap ladder tells the same story. AS Roma -1 is 66% at 1.45, AS Roma -1.5 is 53% at 1.92, and AS Roma -2 is 40% at 2.43. On goals, the market expects a lot. Over 2.5 goals is 69% at 1.38, and over 1.5 goals is 86%. The expected goals are 3 for Roma and 1 for Sassuolo, about 4 in total. The most likely exact scores are 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.33 | 6.43 | 9.75 |
| Market average | 1.30 | 6.01 | 9.02 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 5.50 | 7.24 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 69.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.27 | 3.13 | 30.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.92 | 49.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.18 | 42.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.
Our AS Roma vs Sassuolo betting tip: AS Roma -1.5
Our main tip is AS Roma -1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.92, chance 53%. At -1.5, AS Roma must win by 2 or more. The bet wins on 2-0, 3-0 and 3-1, and loses on 2-1, 1-0 and 1-1.
We like it because Roma have won four of their last five and lost none, while Sassuolo have won none of theirs. Roma are third on 24 points and Sassuolo 17th on 8. At home Roma have 4 wins, 1 draw and no defeats in this competition, and in the head-to-head they have won 13 of the last 24 meetings against Sassuolo's 2. The market gives the tip 53% at best odds of 1.92, and we think Roma's margin of superiority is bigger than that price suggests. The risk is obvious: a one-goal win is enough to lose, and 2-1 or 1-0 would do it.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Our second tip: Both teams to score
Our second tip is both teams to score at odds 1.67, chance 57%. It is the more cautious angle, and it wins on 2-1, 3-1 and 1-1, while losing on 2-0, 3-0 and 1-0. Note that 3-1 wins both tips, but 2-1 wins only this one.
The case for it is that both teams scored in three of Roma's last five matches and in four of Sassuolo's last five. Roma have not failed to score in any of their last five, but Sassuolo have failed to score in only one. The expected total of about four goals fits a match where Sassuolo can score. The market gives it 57% at best odds of 1.67. We would take it if you think Sassuolo's away record will keep them from keeping a clean sheet, but we would not hold it with a heavy stake.
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: last matches of both teams
AS Roma
Sassuolo
A cautious handicap and an over for the goals
If you want a smaller price with a better chance, AS Roma -0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.30, chance 74%, is the one we would pick. At -0.5, AS Roma must win by 1 or more. It is the sensible insurance for the match if Roma's attack gets stuck.
Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.38, chance 69%, sits comfortably with the expected total of about four goals and with our second tip. We would rather play it alongside the second tip than on its own.
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Where we land on Roma against Sassuolo
Roma are the stronger side in the table, at home, and in the head-to-head, and the market agrees with us. The question is the margin. We are happy with AS Roma -1.5 at 1.92. If you prefer a bet that also pays in a 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline, the both teams to score angle is the one to take. Either way, expect the hosts to take the initiative, and keep the stakes modest.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
AS Roma -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our estimate gives AS Roma a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sassuolo 11%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Marco Di Bello.
Who will be missing?
AS Roma: no absences. Sassuolo: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, Y. Paz. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 70% (odds 1.38) and under 2.5 goals at 30% (odds 3.27).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (9.6%), then 2–1 (9.1%) and 3–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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