Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo, 16 October 2026 · 19:45 at PSC Arena (Frosinone), with Matteo Marchetti, Italy officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Frosinone lie 6th, having collected 20 points after 10 matches (6W 2D 2L); Sassuolo lie 17th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In 10 previous meetings, Frosinone have taken 3 wins to Sassuolo's 4 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 15–15.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 69%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 10; Frosinone 3 wins, 3 draws, Sassuolo 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Alternative tip: Frosinone or draw (1X)
Another angle: Frosinone or draw (1X) (probability 64%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Frosinone: no absences. Sassuolo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.55 | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.99 | 2.83 | 33.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.00 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.1% |
| BTTS – no | 3.20 | 3.01 | 30.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 16/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Frosinone 1–1 Sassuolo, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- H2H: 10 matches: Frosinone 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–15.
- Absences: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: injuries and missing players
Frosinone
- No reported absences
Sassuolo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Frosinone
Home and away
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: last matches of both teams
Frosinone
Sassuolo
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Under 3.5 goals (1.92); Frosinone or draw (1X) (1.50).
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Our estimate gives Frosinone a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sassuolo 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 16 October 2026 at 19:45, venue PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: no absences. Sassuolo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 2.99).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 69% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.6%), then 2–1 (8.4%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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