Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), Como take on Sassuolo, with Davide Di Marco, Italy in charge. We make Como (64%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Sassuolo win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Sassuolo lose by 1. Loses: Sassuolo lose by 2 or more.
Como vs Sassuolo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Como lie 4th, having collected 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L); Sassuolo lie 17th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Como average 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.7 for and 2.0 against for Sassuolo.
- Form in the competition. Como: 4W 2D 1L, goals 12–7; Sassuolo: 2W 2D 3L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, Como have taken 3 wins to Sassuolo's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–2.
What to expect
In our view Como hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 4; Como 3 wins, 0 draws, Sassuolo 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Como 12–7, Sassuolo 12–14.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
- Unavailable: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Como: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Sassuolo will be without: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Como vs Sassuolo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.38 |
| Market average | 1.49 | 4.84 | 5.84 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.37 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.98 | 31.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Como 2–1 Sassuolo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Como 4W 2D 1L (12:7), Sassuolo 2W 2D 3L (12:14).
- H2H: 4 matches: Como 3W 0D 1L, goals 8–2.
- Absences: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Como vs Sassuolo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Como vs Sassuolo: injuries and missing players
Como
- T. Chalobahinjury · will miss the match
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- M. Liberaliabsence · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
Sassuolo
- D. Bolocamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Idzesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Konebroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Leysenknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Pazknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Sassuolo: last matches of both teams
Como
Sassuolo
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ComoWWWWDSassuoloLLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Como vs Sassuolo?
Sassuolo +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
Our estimate gives Como a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sassuolo 16%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Davide Di Marco, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Como: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.41) and under 2.5 goals at 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.6%), then 2–0 (8.3%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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