Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–9. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lens vs Como Prediction: Como to Win
Our preferred Lens vs Como bet is the away win at 2.22. The Italian newcomers have been one of the stories of this European season, and they travel to the Stade Bollaert‑Delelis with momentum, quality and a top‑eight finish in their sights.
Como have won their last five competitive matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding only three, and all three of their Champions League games have been high‑scoring affairs. Fabregas's side sit fourth in Serie A and have embraced their first European campaign with the fearlessness of a club with nothing to lose.
Lens are sliding in the opposite direction. The hosts have lost their last two Champions League matches without scoring, they have no clean sheet in nine Ligue 1 games this season, and they face this test without the injured Édouard. Home advantage and two extra days of rest are their best arguments.
At 2.22, backing the form team against a side that cannot keep a clean sheet is the value play. Como's away record in Europe is still unproven – that is the honest risk – but the trajectory of both clubs points one way.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lens 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lens 33rd (3 points), Como 4th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Lens 1W 0D 2L (3:7), Como 2W 0D 1L (10:5).
- H2H: 1 match: Lens 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–9.
- Absences: Lens 6, Como 8.
Lens vs Como: Date, Kick‑Off Time and Venue
Lens host Como on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, in matchweek four of the Champions League league phase. Kick‑off at the Stade Bollaert‑Delelis in Lens is 21:00 local time.
In the United Kingdom the match is available on TNT Sports, with streaming via HBO Max. Paramount+ carries it in the United States and DAZN in Canada. Broadcast arrangements can differ by region, so check local listings.
Who will win Lens vs Como?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lens vs Como Betting Odds and Best Markets
The market is close to even, with Lens marginal favourites on home soil and Como available at 2.22 – a generous price on a team that has won five straight. The draw trades between them as the cautious option.
Como's European games have all produced at least five goals, so the goals markets will attract attention too, while Lens's scoreless run in Europe argues against backing the hosts on any goals‑based angle. We keep it simple: Como to win.
Lens vs Como: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.02 | 4.02 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 3.81 | 3.89 | 1.90 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.57 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.40 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.38 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.45 | 38.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 4/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
Lens vs Como: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
In What Form Are Lens and Como Coming Into the Match?
Lens's European campaign has stalled badly after an encouraging start: consecutive defeats without a goal have dragged them back toward the chasing pack, and their league form – position 27 with three points from three games – offers little comfort.
Como are flying: five straight wins in all competitions, a 13‑3 goal record across that run, and victories that have carried them to fourth in Serie A and within reach of the Champions League's top eight.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lens
Home and away
Lens vs Como: last matches of both teams
Lens
Como
Lens vs Como: Key Pre‑Match Statistics
Lens have failed to keep a clean sheet in all nine of their Ligue 1 matches this season – the weakest defensive run among this week's home sides – and have not scored in their last two European outings.
Como's three Champions League games have each produced five or more goals, evidence that their matches stay open and entertaining even when they are in control.
Head to head
All matchesLens vs Como H2H History
This is the first competitive meeting between Lens and Como, a fitting milestone for the Italian club's debut European adventure.
With no history to draw on, current form is the only reliable guide – and on that measure Como hold every advantage except home territory.
Lens vs Como Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
Lens are without Édouard, depriving them of an important option at either end of the pitch as they try to stop the rot in front of their own supporters.
Como travel without Moise Kean, while Assane Diao and Addai are still recovering – absences that could slow their recent scoring rate. Nico Paz remains the creative hub of Fabregas's side and the player Lens must stop.
Lens vs Como: injuries and missing players
Lens
- J. Chavezabsence · will miss the match
- O. Edouardgroin injury · will miss the match
- I. Ganiouknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Jourdrennot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Nawrockiknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Simamuscle injury · will miss the match
Como
- J. Addaimuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Chalobahinjury · will miss the match
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Goldaniganot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kambwalanot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- A. Lahdonot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LensLLLWComoWWLWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
When is Lens vs Como?
The match takes place on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick‑off at 21:00 local time at the Stade Bollaert‑Delelis, Lens.
What is our Lens vs Como prediction?
We back Como to win at 2.22.
Is an away win risky?
Yes – Como are still proving themselves on the road in Europe and Kean's absence hurts – but five straight wins against a side without a clean sheet all season justifies the price.
Which tip do we give for Lens vs Como?
Como to win (2.22)
Who will win Lens vs Como?
Our estimate gives Lens a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Como 50%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 4 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.