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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 17:45

Como vs Manchester United: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

1Como2.49
XDraw3.85
2Manchester United2.90

Top price available · Updated 21/10/26, 16:39

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Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Como vs Manchester United, 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), with Sven Jablonski, Germany officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Como vs Manchester United: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Manchester United +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.82
Chance 55% · confidence medium

Wins: Manchester United win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Manchester United lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
Chance 64% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
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Como vs Manchester United: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Como lie 4th, having collected 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L); Manchester United lie 17th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Como have taken 1 win to Manchester United's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–1.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Como 1 win, 0 draws, Manchester United 0 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 5.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
  4. Unavailable: Como 0, Manchester United 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Como: no absences. Manchester United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Como vs Manchester United: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.493.852.90
Market average2.423.702.76
Lowest odds2.353.532.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1581.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5461.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.622.4239.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.492.3740.5%
BTTS – yes1.501.4663.9%
BTTS – no2.802.5836.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 16:39. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Como 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Como 4th (9 points), Manchester United 17th (6 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Como 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1.
  • Absences: Como 0, Manchester United 0.

Who will win Como vs Manchester United?

Como39%
Draw26%
Manchester United35%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Como vs Manchester United: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.0% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Como or draw (1X)65.3% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Both teams to score: yes63.9% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.5% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.5% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.49
Outsider
Como to win39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.49
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.0% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.62
Outsider
Both teams to score: no36.1% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.80
Outsider
Manchester United to win34.7% · fair odds 2.88 · best 2.90
Outsider
Draw25.8% · fair odds 3.87 · best 3.85
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.6%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.04 · Under 1.73
probability of over 45.9%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.8%
2 : 18.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 07.2%
0 : 16.8%
2 : 26.5%

Como vs Manchester United: injuries and missing players

Como

  • No reported absences

Manchester United

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain44-0-020:512
2Real Madrid44-0-013:712
3Arsenal43-1-08:310
4Como43-0-119:69
5Barcelona43-0-114:69
6Aston Villa43-0-112:69
7Manchester City43-0-112:79
8Liverpool43-0-114:109
9Club Brugge KV43-0-111:79
10Sporting CP43-0-18:49
11Real Betis43-0-18:69
12Borussia Dortmund43-0-17:59
13Bayern München42-2-012:58
14VfB Stuttgart42-1-17:47
15Inter42-0-28:66
16Lask Linz42-0-210:96
17Manchester United42-0-28:86
18Galatasaray42-0-28:96
19Fenerbahçe41-2-16:115
20AS Roma41-1-210:84
21Shakhtar Donetsk41-1-24:44
22Viking41-1-29:104
23Atlético Madrid41-1-24:54
24PSV Eindhoven41-1-23:44
25Bodø/Glimt41-1-24:94
26FC Porto41-0-36:73
27Napoli41-0-36:113
28Villarreal41-0-38:143
29AEK Athens FC41-0-35:113
30RB Leipzig41-0-35:113
31Sabah FA41-0-34:103
32Feyenoord41-0-34:113
33Lens41-0-34:163
34Slavia Praha40-1-35:91
35Lille40-1-34:101
36Slovan Bratislava40-0-41:170

Recent matches

Como

4 NovWLens 1–9 Como
1 NovWComo 1–0 Venezia
27 OctWTorino 1–3 Como
24 OctWComo 2–0 Sassuolo
21 OctWComo 4–1 Manchester United

Manchester United

3 NovWManchester United 3–2 AS Roma
31 OctLChelsea 2–0 Manchester United
25 OctLManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
21 OctLComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctDLeeds 1–1 Manchester United

Home and away

Como at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 8–2
Manchester United away2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–6

Como vs Manchester United: last matches of both teams

Como

W 4/11/26 · Lens 1–9 Como
W 1/11/26 · Como 1–0 Venezia
W 27/10/26 · Torino 1–3 Como
W 24/10/26 · Como 2–0 Sassuolo

Manchester United

W 3/11/26 · Manchester United 3–2 AS Roma
L 31/10/26 · Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United
L 25/10/26 · Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
D 18/10/26 · Leeds 1–1 Manchester United

Head to head

All matches
1Como
0Draws
0Manchester United
21/10/26 · Como 4–1 Manchester United

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Como vs Manchester United?

Manchester United +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Both teams to score (1.50).

Who will win Como vs Manchester United?

Our estimate gives Como a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Manchester United 35%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany.

Who will be missing?

Como: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.62).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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