Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 19:45 at Allianz Stadium (Turin), Juventus take on Napoli, with Simone Sozza in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Juventus vs Napoli: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Juventus lie 7th, having collected 17 points after 10 matches (5W 2D 3L); Napoli lie 8th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Juventus average 1.2 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.9 for and 1.2 against for Napoli.
- Form in the competition. Juventus: 4W 2D 3L, goals 11–10; Napoli: 4W 2D 3L, goals 17–11.
- Head to head. In 38 previous meetings, Juventus have taken 17 wins to Napoli's 13 wins, plus 8 draws; the goal tally stands at 60–49.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.3%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 38; Juventus 17 wins, 8 draws, Napoli 13 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Juventus 11–10, Napoli 17–11.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Juventus 9, Napoli 7.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 2.01). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, J. Ekhator. Napoli will be without: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka, L. Spinazzola. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Juventus vs Napoli: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.34 | 3.50 | 3.46 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.31 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.91 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.91 | 50.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.17 | 29.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.10 | 44.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Juventus 1–1 Napoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Juventus 7th (17 points), Napoli 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Juventus 4W 2D 3L (11:10), Napoli 4W 2D 3L (17:11).
- H2H: 38 matches: Juventus 17W 8D 13L, goals 60–49.
- Absences: Juventus 9, Napoli 7.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Juventus vs Napoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Juventus vs Napoli: injuries and missing players
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · doubtful
Napoli
- Alisson Santosmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Badiashileinjury · will miss the match
- A. Buongiornoknee injury · will miss the match
- David Neresthigh injury · will miss the match
- C. Favasulithigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Lobotkaankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Spinazzolathigh injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Juventus
Home and away
Juventus vs Napoli: last matches of both teams
Juventus
Napoli
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
JuventusWLWLDNapoliLWDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Juventus vs Napoli?
Over 2.5 goals (2.01); Juventus or draw (1X) (1.37).
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
Our estimate gives Juventus a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Napoli 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Allianz Stadium, Turin. Referee: Simone Sozza.
Who will be missing?
Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, J. Ekhator. Napoli: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka, L. Spinazzola. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 2.01) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.99).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.3%), then 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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