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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 20 October 2026 · 20:00

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: prediction, odds and betting tip – 20 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

LWLL
4–3
1Napoli1.83
XDraw4.26
2Bodø/Glimt4.77

Top price available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples), Napoli take on Bodø/Glimt, with José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain in charge. We make Napoli (55%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Bodø/Glimt +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.66
Chance 61% · confidence medium

Wins: Bodø/Glimt win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Bodø/Glimt lose by 1. Loses: Bodø/Glimt lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
Napoli with over 2.5 goals
2.59
39% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Napoli or draw (1X) at a probability of 79%, with odds of up to 1.25.
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Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Napoli lie 27th, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Bodø/Glimt lie 25th, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have taken 1 win to Bodø/Glimt's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–3.

What to expect

In our view Napoli hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Napoli 1 win, 0 draws, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 7.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
  4. Unavailable: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.834.264.77
Market average1.734.074.46
Lowest odds1.703.864.08
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1581.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5461.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4238.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.422.3440.9%
BTTS – yes1.601.5360.9%
BTTS – no2.502.3939.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Bodø/Glimt, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Napoli 27th (3 points), Bodø/Glimt 25th (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Napoli 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–3.
  • Absences: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.

Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

Napoli55%
Draw23%
Bodø/Glimt21%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.0% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Napoli or draw (1X)78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.66
Possible
Napoli to win55.1% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.42
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.50
Outsider
Draw23.5% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.26
Outsider
Bodø/Glimt to win21.4% · fair odds 4.66 · best 4.77
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.8%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.19 · Under 1.64
probability of over 42.8%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.1%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 08.8%
2 : 08.6%
3 : 16.4%
1 : 25.8%

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: injuries and missing players

Napoli

  • No reported absences

Bodø/Glimt

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain44-0-020:512
2Real Madrid44-0-013:712
3Arsenal43-1-08:310
4Como43-0-119:69
5Barcelona43-0-114:69
6Aston Villa43-0-112:69
7Manchester City43-0-112:79
8Liverpool43-0-114:109
9Club Brugge KV43-0-111:79
10Sporting CP43-0-18:49
11Real Betis43-0-18:69
12Borussia Dortmund43-0-17:59
13Bayern München42-2-012:58
14VfB Stuttgart42-1-17:47
15Inter42-0-28:66
16Lask Linz42-0-210:96
17Manchester United42-0-28:86
18Galatasaray42-0-28:96
19Fenerbahçe41-2-16:115
20AS Roma41-1-210:84
21Shakhtar Donetsk41-1-24:44
22Viking41-1-29:104
23Atlético Madrid41-1-24:54
24PSV Eindhoven41-1-23:44
25Bodø/Glimt41-1-24:94
26FC Porto41-0-36:73
27Napoli41-0-36:113
28Villarreal41-0-38:143
29AEK Athens FC41-0-35:113
30RB Leipzig41-0-35:113
31Sabah FA41-0-34:103
32Feyenoord41-0-34:113
33Lens41-0-34:163
34Slavia Praha40-1-35:91
35Lille40-1-34:101
36Slovan Bratislava40-0-41:170

Recent matches

Napoli

4 NovLFC Porto 4–1 Napoli
1 NovLJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctWMonza 1–4 Napoli
24 OctDNapoli 3–3 AS Roma
20 OctWNapoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt

Bodø/Glimt

3 NovDBodø/Glimt 0–0 Lille
30 OctWBodø/Glimt 3–2 Viking
24 OctLBodø/Glimt 0–1 Vålerenga
20 OctLNapoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt
17 OctWHam-Kam 0–2 Bodø/Glimt

Home and away

Napoli at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–4
Bodø/Glimt away2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 3–9

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: last matches of both teams

Napoli

L 4/11/26 · FC Porto 4–1 Napoli
L 1/11/26 · Juventus 2–0 Napoli
W 28/10/26 · Monza 1–4 Napoli
D 24/10/26 · Napoli 3–3 AS Roma

Bodø/Glimt

D 3/11/26 · Bodø/Glimt 0–0 Lille
W 30/10/26 · Bodø/Glimt 3–2 Viking
L 24/10/26 · Bodø/Glimt 0–1 Vålerenga
W 17/10/26 · Ham-Kam 0–2 Bodø/Glimt

Head to head

All matches
1Napoli
0Draws
0Bodø/Glimt
20/10/26 · Napoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

Bodø/Glimt +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.66); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).

Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?

Our estimate gives Napoli a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bodø/Glimt 21%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.60).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.1%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.8%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.