Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples), Napoli take on Bodø/Glimt, with José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain in charge. We make Napoli (55%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Bodø/Glimt win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Bodø/Glimt lose by 1. Loses: Bodø/Glimt lose by 2 or more.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Napoli lie 27th, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Bodø/Glimt lie 25th, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have taken 1 win to Bodø/Glimt's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–3.
What to expect
In our view Napoli hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Napoli 1 win, 0 draws, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 7.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.83 | 4.26 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 4.07 | 4.46 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.86 | 4.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Bodø/Glimt, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Napoli 27th (3 points), Bodø/Glimt 25th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Napoli 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–3.
- Absences: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: injuries and missing players
Napoli
- No reported absences
Bodø/Glimt
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 8 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 | |
| 9 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 | |
| 10 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 | |
| 12 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 | |
| 13 | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 | |
| 20 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 | |
| 23 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 | |
| 24 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 | |
| 28 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 | |
| 29 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 | |
| 30 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 | |
| 31 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 | |
| 32 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 | |
| 33 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 | |
| 34 | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 35 | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 | |
| 36 | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Napoli
Home and away
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: last matches of both teams
Napoli
Bodø/Glimt
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Bodø/Glimt +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.66); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Our estimate gives Napoli a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bodø/Glimt 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.60).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.1%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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