Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie, 21 November 2026, 15:30): PSV Eindhoven -1 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.80. Second tip: Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.78. The bookmakers' odds give NEC Nijmegen 19%, the draw 20% and PSV Eindhoven 62%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Wins: PSV Eindhoven win by 2 or more. Stake back: PSV Eindhoven win by 1. Loses: a draw, PSV Eindhoven lose.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. NEC Nijmegen lie 14th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (2W 5D 4L); PSV Eindhoven lie 3rd, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
What to expect
In our view PSV Eindhoven hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.78), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 67%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
- Unavailable: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, top price 2.10). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for NEC Nijmegen: no absences. PSV Eindhoven will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.26 | 4.96 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.05 | 4.78 | 1.51 |
| Lowest odds | 4.80 | 4.50 | 1.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.45 | 27.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.75 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.38 | 67.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.89 | 2.83 | 32.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: NEC Nijmegen 14th (11 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
- Absences: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: injuries and missing players
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
NEC Nijmegen
Home and away
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: last matches of both teams
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven -1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 3.5 goals (1.78).
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our estimate gives NEC Nijmegen a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PSV Eindhoven 62%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 15:30, venue Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.
Who will be missing?
NEC Nijmegen: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.31) and under 2.5 goals at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 67% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.2%), then 1–3 (7.5%) and 1–1 (7.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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