Our tip for Inter vs Como (Serie A, 8 November 2026, 17:00): Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.73. Second tip: Inter to win at odds of 1.96. The bookmakers' odds give Inter 50%, the draw 24% and Como 27%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Inter vs Como preview and prediction
Inter against Como is one of those Serie A Matchweek 11 fixtures where the numbers point in two directions at once. Inter are the home side at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, with kick-off at 17:00 on 8 November 2026, and they sit second with 25 points. Como are fourth with 23. We have gone through the form, the meetings and the odds, and we have a clear view on where the value sits.
The key facts
- Likely result: Inter 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Inter 2nd (25 points), Como 4th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Inter 8W 1D 1L (26:13), Como 7W 2D 1L (18:8).
- H2H: 6 matches: Inter 5W 1D 0L, goals 15–5.
- Absences: Inter 0, Como 0.
How are the two sides arriving?
Both teams come in on the back of winning runs. Inter have taken four wins from their last five matches in all competitions, with one defeat, a 3-1 loss away to AC Milan on 31 October. Their wins came against Bologna, Shakhtar Donetsk, Fiorentina and Venezia, and the defeat was the one that stands out. Como have won all five of their recent matches, including 3-1 at Torino and 1-0 at home to Venezia on 1 November. That is a run we respect, even if the sample is small.
In this competition alone, Inter have eight wins, one draw and one defeat. Como have seven wins, two draws and one defeat. Inter have been the stronger home side, with five wins from five at home and 17 goals scored there. Como's away record is solid too, four wins, one draw and one defeat, though the table only tells part of the story.
Who will win Inter vs Como?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Who is scoring, and who is keeping the door shut?
Inter's attack is the more productive one. They have scored 26 times in ten matches in this competition, which is 2.6 per match, and they have conceded 13. Como have scored 18 and conceded eight, so their 0.8 goals against per match is the best defensive figure on either side. That is the number we keep coming back to.
Across the last five matches, Inter won 4, drew none and lost 1, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Both teams scored in three of those matches, and more than 2.5 goals arrived in three. Como's five recent wins brought 13 goals and only three conceded, with no goal conceded in two of them. We would not read too much into one month, though.
What do the last six meetings tell us?
Inter have had the upper hand. They won five of the last six meetings, drew one and Como won none, with Inter scoring 15 and Como five. The 3-4 Como defeat to Inter on 12 April shows how these fixtures can swing. The 0-0 draw on 3 March is the only one of the six that ended without a goal for either side.
Still, the pattern of the last six is not the whole picture.
Inter vs Como: last matches of both teams
Inter
Como
Head to head
All matchesWho is missing for either side?
Neither side has any absence reported. Both coaches have their full squads to pick from, which means the lineups should look like the sides we have been watching in the table.
Inter vs Como: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.96 | 4.33 | 3.74 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 4.03 | 3.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.47 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.63 | 35.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.21 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
Inter vs Como: injuries and missing players
Inter
- No reported absences
Como
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Where we land on the bet
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.74 (chance 58%). We like it because both teams have kept clean sheets in two of their last five matches, and the market already sees it as the more likely outcome. The bookmakers' expected goals are about three in total, with Inter on 2 and Como on 1, which sits right on the line but leans to the under. The bet wins on 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 1-2, and it loses only on 2-2. That is a wide net for a match we expect to be controlled rather than wide open.
Our second selection is Inter to win at odds 1.83 (chance 53%). Inter have won four of their last five, lost only one, sit above Como in the league table, and have won all five home matches in this competition. They also won five of the last six meetings. The Inter win bet wins on 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0, and loses on 1-1, 1-2 and 2-2. A 1-1 draw is the one result that would hurt most, and the market gives it a real chance.
Other bets we would look at
- Como +2 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.20 (chance 80%): the bet wins unless Como lose by 3 or more, and a defeat by exactly 2 returns the stake. It is the safest price on the page, and it fits a Como side that has conceded only eight this season.
- Inter or draw (1X) at odds 1.28 (chance 76%): a sensible way to back Inter without taking on the risk of Como taking a point at the Meazza.
- Under 11.5 corners at odds 1.25 (chance 74%): low price, high chance, and it fits a match we expect to be controlled.
- Inter +0 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.39 (chance 69%): an Inter win wins, a draw returns the stake, and a defeat loses. It is the cleaner version of our second tip, with the draw protected.
Inter vs Como: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Inter
Home and away
Our last word on the Meazza
We think Inter will get the result at home, and we think Como will make Inter work for it. Our money goes on Under 3.5 goals, with Inter to win as the second bet. If you want something safer, Como +2 is a price we would happily take.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Inter vs Como?
Under 3.5 goals (1.73); Inter to win (1.96).
Who will win Inter vs Como?
Our estimate gives Inter a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Como 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 17:00, venue San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Daniele Chiffi.
Who will be missing?
Inter: no absences. Como: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.47).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.9%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (7.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.
Bet with Freshbet →