Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), Inter take on Shakhtar Donetsk, with Harm Osmers, Germany in charge. We make Inter (77%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Inter lie 15th, having collected 6 points after 4 matches (2W 0D 2L); Shakhtar Donetsk lie 21st, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. In 6 previous meetings, Inter have taken 3 wins to Shakhtar Donetsk's 0 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–0.
What to expect
In our view Inter hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.27), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.71), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 70%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 6; Inter 3 wins, 3 draws, Shakhtar Donetsk 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
- Unavailable: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.97). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Inter: no absences. Shakhtar Donetsk will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.27 | 7.01 | 11.60 |
| Market average | 1.24 | 6.54 | 10.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.16 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.90 | 50.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.71 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.07 | 45.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Inter 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Inter 15th (6 points), Shakhtar Donetsk 21st (4 points).
- H2H: 6 matches: Inter 3W 3D 0L, goals 8–0.
- Absences: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: injuries and missing players
Inter
- No reported absences
Shakhtar Donetsk
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 | Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Inter
Home and away
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: last matches of both teams
Inter
Shakhtar Donetsk
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Over 3.5 goals (1.97); Inter to win (1.27).
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our estimate gives Inter a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Shakhtar Donetsk 9%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 20:00, venue San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Inter: no absences. Shakhtar Donetsk: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 70% (odds 1.34) and under 2.5 goals at 30% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.71).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.3%), then 3–0 (9.5%) and 2–1 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.