Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid (La Liga, 22 November 2026, 16:00): Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83. Second tip: Atlético Madrid to win at odds of 1.70. The bookmakers' odds give Getafe 17%, the draw 25% and Atlético Madrid 58%. The most likely score is 0–1.
Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Getafe lie 13th, having collected 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L); Atlético Madrid lie 2nd, having collected 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
What to expect
In our view Atlético Madrid hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (14.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.83), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 46%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Getafe 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 54%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Getafe: no absences. Atlético Madrid will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.85 | 3.88 | 1.70 |
| Market average | 5.52 | 3.74 | 1.64 |
| Lowest odds | 5.13 | 3.50 | 1.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.35 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.10 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.69 | 25.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 21:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 13th (12 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Absences: Getafe 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Who will win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: injuries and missing players
Getafe
- No reported absences
Atlético Madrid
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Getafe
Home and away
Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: last matches of both teams
Getafe
Atlético Madrid
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
Under 2.5 goals (1.83); Atlético Madrid to win (1.70).
Who will win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
Our estimate gives Getafe a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Madrid 58%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Coliseum, Getafe.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: no absences. Atlético Madrid: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.14) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.83).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.05).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (14.0%), then 0–2 (11.9%) and 1–1 (11.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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