Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Getafe welcome Rayo Vallecano on 19 October 2026 · 20:00 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe), and the referee is Jon Ander González Esteban, Spain. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Rayo Vallecano win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Rayo Vallecano lose.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Getafe lie 13th, having collected 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L); Rayo Vallecano lie 12th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 43%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 34%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 34%.
- Unavailable: Getafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.
Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals
Another angle: Over 1.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.63). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Getafe: no absences. Rayo Vallecano will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.13 | 3.09 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 2.91 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.59 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.59 | 59.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.97 | 2.78 | 34.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 66.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 6.50 | 5.75 | 16.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 19/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Rayo Vallecano, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 13th (12 points), Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 points).
- Absences: Getafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: injuries and missing players
Getafe
- No reported absences
Rayo Vallecano
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Getafe
Home and away
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: last matches of both teams
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Rayo Vallecano +0 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our estimate gives Getafe a 32% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Rayo Vallecano 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 19 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Jon Ander González Esteban, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: no absences. Rayo Vallecano: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.97) and under 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 43% (odds 2.20).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (13.5%), then 1–1 (13.5%) and 1–0 (12.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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