Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo, 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid), with Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Celta Vigo win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Celta Vigo lose.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rayo Vallecano lie 12th, having collected 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L); Celta Vigo lie 11th, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Rayo Vallecano average 1.3 goals for and 2.2 against, compared with 1.0 for and 0.7 against for Celta Vigo.
- Form in the competition. Rayo Vallecano: 2W 3D 4L, goals 12–20; Celta Vigo: 2W 6D 2L, goals 10–7.
- Head to head. In 21 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have taken 10 wins to Celta Vigo's 5 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 29–26.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 21; Rayo Vallecano 10 wins, 6 draws, Celta Vigo 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Rayo Vallecano 12–20, Celta Vigo 10–7.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
- Unavailable: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.84). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Celta Vigo will be without: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.59 | 3.34 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.48 | 3.18 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.36 | 2.96 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.80 | 24.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.84 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:57. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 points), Celta Vigo 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Rayo Vallecano 2W 3D 4L (12:20), Celta Vigo 2W 6D 2L (10:7).
- H2H: 21 matches: Rayo Vallecano 10W 6D 5L, goals 29–26.
- Absences: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: injuries and missing players
Rayo Vallecano
- A. Batallaabsence · will miss the match
- P. Cissabsence · will miss the match
- Luiz Felipeknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ratiumuscle injury · doubtful
Celta Vigo
- H. F. Cuenca Martinezmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. El Abdellaouiknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Iglesiascalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Nunezgroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Romanknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Starfeltmuscle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rayo Vallecano
Home and away
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: last matches of both teams
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Rayo VallecanoWLDDWCelta VigoLDWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Under 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our estimate gives Rayo Vallecano a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Celta Vigo 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:15, venue Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid. Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid.
Who will be missing?
Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.23) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.84).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (13.0%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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