Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Getafe welcome FC Lugano on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe), and the referee is Atilla Karaoglan, Türkiye. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Getafe vs FC Lugano: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Getafe lie 31st, having collected 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L); FC Lugano lie 1st, having collected 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the FC Lugano, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 67% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 48%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 42%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
- Unavailable: Getafe 0, FC Lugano 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.74). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Getafe: no absences. FC Lugano will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Getafe vs FC Lugano: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.28 | 3.24 | 3.91 |
| Market average | 2.15 | 3.13 | 3.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.40 | 66.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.26 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.63 | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.25 | 22.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 16:28. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Getafe 1–0 FC Lugano, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 31st (1 point), FC Lugano 1st (9 points).
- Absences: Getafe 0, FC Lugano 0.
Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Getafe vs FC Lugano: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Getafe vs FC Lugano: injuries and missing players
Getafe
- No reported absences
FC Lugano
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Getafe
Home and away
Getafe vs FC Lugano: last matches of both teams
Getafe
FC Lugano
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Getafe vs FC Lugano?
Draw or FC Lugano (X2) (2.06); Over 1.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?
Our estimate gives Getafe a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and FC Lugano 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Atilla Karaoglan, Türkiye.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: no absences. FC Lugano: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.40) and under 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 48% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.9%), then 1–1 (12.9%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.