Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München preview and prediction
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction: Atlético Madrid Draw No Bet
Our preferred Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich bet is Atletico on the Draw No Bet line at 1.96, which returns the stake if the match ends level. Few sides in Europe are hotter right now: Diego Simeone's team are unbeaten in nine matches in all competitions, winning eight of them, and their last four home games have produced a 9-1 aggregate.
Atletico's domestic momentum is built on defensive control. Each of their last four wins has come with a clean sheet, and a seventh straight LaLiga victory at Levante at the weekend kept them within two points of the leaders. At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano they have been close to impenetrable.
Bayern remain dangerous – they scored four times without reply in patches of their 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund, posting an xG of 4.18 – but their Champions League campaign has stalled with consecutive draws against Viking and Arsenal, and clean sheets have dried up. Harry Kane has four goals and two assists in three European outings, yet the visitors arrive with fresh injuries to Serge Gnabry, Ismael Saibari and Michael Olise, while Manuel Neuer remains sidelined.
With the hosts in relentless form and Bayern stretched, Atletico Draw No Bet at 1.96 offers a solid price with the safety of a refunded stake in a draw.
The key facts
- Likely result: Atlético Madrid 1–1 Bayern München, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Atlético Madrid 23rd (4 points), Bayern München 13th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Atlético Madrid 1W 1D 1L (4:3), Bayern München 1W 2D 0L (10:5).
- H2H: 7 matches: Atlético Madrid 2W 1D 4L, goals 4–10.
- Absences: Atlético Madrid 2, Bayern München 4.
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Date, Kick-Off Time and Venue
Atlético Madrid host Bayern Munich on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, in matchweek four of the Champions League league phase. Kick-off at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid is 21:00 local time.
In the United Kingdom the match is shown on TNT Sports, with streaming via HBO Max. Paramount+ carries it in the United States and DAZN in Canada. Broadcast arrangements can differ by region, so check local listings.
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich Betting Odds and Best Markets
Atletico's Draw No Bet at 1.96 is the standout angle for punters who want insurance against a stalemate: at the time of writing, 1.96 was available on this market.
Both Teams to Score also merits a look: every one of Bayern's last nine Champions League away games has produced goals at both ends. Even so, the strongest combination of price and probability for us is Atletico with the draw protected.
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.06 | 3.95 | 2.31 |
| Market average | 2.95 | 3.83 | 2.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.84 | 3.59 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.51 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.53 | 37.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.27 | 42.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.68 | 34.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
In What Form Are Atlético Madrid and Bayern Munich Coming Into the Match?
Atletico are unbeaten in nine matches in all competitions, winning eight, and their European campaign finally has lift‑off after a 2-0 home win over Manchester United followed by a draw with Stuttgart and an opening defeat at Liverpool.
Bayern are unbeaten too but less convincing. The 2-2 draw with Dortmund at the weekend followed two Champions League draws, and Bayern have not kept a clean sheet in weeks despite creating chances in volume – 23 shots against Dortmund alone.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Atlético Madrid
Home and away
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München: last matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
Bayern München
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Key Pre-Match Statistics
Atletico's last four home matches have finished with a combined 9-1 scoreline, and each of their last four victories in all competitions has come with a clean sheet.
Bayern have scored in 24 consecutive Champions League matches, the strongest attacking run in the fixture, but all of their last nine away games in the competition have seen both teams score – a sign of how rarely they control games on the road.
Head to head
All matchesAtlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich H2H History
These are two of Europe's most decorated clubs and their meetings are invariably tight, tactical affairs shaped by two of the game's most demanding coaches.
Recent competitive meetings have been rare enough that current form carries more weight than history here, and on that measure Atletico's nine‑match unbeaten run speaks louder than Bayern's sequence of draws.
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
Bayern's attacking depth took a hit in the Dortmund draw, with Gnabry, Saibari and Olise all picking up injuries, while first‑choice goalkeeper Neuer remains out. Kane is fit and leads the line as the newly crowned Ballon d'Or winner.
Atletico's settled unit has been the platform of their run, with Alejandro Grimaldo and Giuliano Simeone among the recent match‑winners. As with any midweek fixture, confirm the final line‑ups an hour before kick‑off.
Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München: injuries and missing players
Atlético Madrid
- J. Cardosothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Hjulmandred card · will miss the match
Bayern München
- L. Diazmuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Gnabrymuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Musialamuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Saibariankle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Atlético MadridLDWLBayern MünchenWDDWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
When is Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich?
The match takes place on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, with kick‑off at 21:00 local time at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid.
What is our Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction?
We back Atlético Madrid Draw No Bet at 1.96, so the stake is refunded if the match ends in a draw.
What does Draw No Bet mean?
It removes the draw from the equation: you win if Atletico win, lose if Bayern win, and get your money back if it finishes level.
Which tip do we give for Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München?
Atlético Madrid Draw No Bet (1.96)
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München?
Our estimate gives Atlético Madrid a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bayern München 42%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 3 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Referee: François Letexier, France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.53) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 1–2 (8.8%) and 2–1 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.