Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 13:00 at RCDE Stadium (Cornellà), Espanyol take on Atlético Madrid, with Alejandro Hernández, Spain in charge. We make Atlético Madrid (56%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Espanyol lie 14th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Atlético Madrid lie 2nd, having collected 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
What to expect
In our view Atlético Madrid hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, top price 1.79). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Espanyol: no absences. Atlético Madrid will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.17 | 4.12 | 1.75 |
| Market average | 4.87 | 4.01 | 1.70 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.22 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.72 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.67 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 10:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Espanyol 1–1 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Espanyol 14th (11 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Absences: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: injuries and missing players
Espanyol
- No reported absences
Atlético Madrid
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Espanyol
Home and away
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: last matches of both teams
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Over 2.5 goals (1.79); Atlético Madrid to win (1.75).
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Our estimate gives Espanyol a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Madrid 56%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 13:00, venue RCDE Stadium, Cornellà. Referee: Alejandro Hernández, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Espanyol: no absences. Atlético Madrid: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.79) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.23).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.7%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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