Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Levante welcome Atlético Madrid on 31 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia), and the referee is Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea. Atlético Madrid (62%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Atlético Madrid win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Atlético Madrid win by 1. Loses: a draw, Atlético Madrid lose.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Levante lie 18th, having collected 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L); Atlético Madrid lie 2nd, having collected 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Levante average 1.6 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 2.0 for and 0.8 against for Atlético Madrid.
- Form in the competition. Levante: 2W 4D 4L, goals 16–19; Atlético Madrid: 8W 1D 1L, goals 20–8.
- Head to head. In 26 previous meetings, Levante have taken 6 wins to Atlético Madrid's 14 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 27–44.
What to expect
In our view Atlético Madrid hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 26; Levante 6 wins, 6 draws, Atlético Madrid 14 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Levante 16–19, Atlético Madrid 20–8.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Levante 1, Atlético Madrid 2.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.66). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Levante: E. Bardeli. Atlético Madrid will be without: J. Cardoso, Koke. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.75 | 5.06 | 1.60 |
| Market average | 5.46 | 4.67 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 4.84 | 4.03 | 1.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.52 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.49 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.31 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.22 | 42.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 22:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Levante 1–2 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Levante 18th (10 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Levante 2W 4D 4L (16:19), Atlético Madrid 8W 1D 1L (20:8).
- H2H: 26 matches: Levante 6W 6D 14L, goals 27–44.
- Absences: Levante 1, Atlético Madrid 2.
Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: injuries and missing players
Levante
- E. Bardelimuscle injury · will miss the match
Atlético Madrid
- J. Cardosothigh injury · will miss the match
- Kokemuscle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Levante
Home and away
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: last matches of both teams
Levante
Atlético Madrid
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LevanteLLWDDAtlético MadridWWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.73); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
Our estimate gives Levante a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlético Madrid 62%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 13:00, venue Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea.
Who will be missing?
Levante: E. Bardeli. Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.58).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.9%), then 0–2 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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