Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid welcome Deportivo La Coruña on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid), and the referee is José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain. Atlético Madrid (74%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Atlético Madrid lie 2nd, having collected 28 points after 11 matches (9W 1D 1L); Deportivo La Coruña lie 8th, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Atlético Madrid average 2.1 goals for and 0.9 against, compared with 1.4 for and 1.3 against for Deportivo La Coruña.
- Form in the competition. Atlético Madrid: 7W 1D 1L, goals 19–8; Deportivo La Coruña: 2W 5D 2L, goals 13–12.
- Head to head. In 14 previous meetings, Atlético Madrid have taken 11 wins to Deportivo La Coruña's 0 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 23–3.
What to expect
In our view Atlético Madrid hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (12.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 47%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 14; Atlético Madrid 11 wins, 3 draws, Deportivo La Coruña 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Atlético Madrid 19–8, Deportivo La Coruña 13–12.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Atlético Madrid 3, Deportivo La Coruña 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke, C. Romero. Deportivo La Coruña will be without: P. Aubameyang, N. Carrillo, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri, B. Ede. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.34 | 6.20 | 11.50 |
| Market average | 1.29 | 5.84 | 10.19 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.55 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.34 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.12 | 1.98 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.77 | 52.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Atlético Madrid 2–0 Deportivo La Coruña, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points), Deportivo La Coruña 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Atlético Madrid 7W 1D 1L (19:8), Deportivo La Coruña 2W 5D 2L (13:12).
- H2H: 14 matches: Atlético Madrid 11W 3D 0L, goals 23–3.
- Absences: Atlético Madrid 3, Deportivo La Coruña 5.
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: injuries and missing players
Atlético Madrid
- J. Cardosothigh injury · will miss the match
- Kokemuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
Deportivo La Coruña
- P. Aubameyangknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Carrillomuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Casadoabsence · will miss the match
- Z. Eddahchouriabsence · will miss the match
- B. Edehamstring injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Atlético Madrid
Home and away
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: last matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
Deportivo La Coruña
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Atlético MadridWWWWWDeportivo La CoruñaWLDLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Over 2.5 goals (1.65); Atlético Madrid to win (1.34).
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Our estimate gives Atlético Madrid a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Deportivo La Coruña 9%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke, C. Romero. Deportivo La Coruña: P. Aubameyang, N. Carrillo, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri, B. Ede. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 47% (odds 2.12).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (12.3%), then 1–0 (10.3%) and 3–0 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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