Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg), Strasbourg take on Auxerre, with Guillaume Paradis in charge. We make Strasbourg (52%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Auxerre win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Auxerre lose by 1. Loses: Auxerre lose by 2 or more.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Strasbourg lie 13th, having collected 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L); Auxerre lie 14th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Strasbourg average 1.5 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 1.5 for and 2.3 against for Auxerre.
- Form in the competition. Strasbourg: 2W 1D 5L, goals 12–18; Auxerre: 3W 1D 4L, goals 12–18.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Strasbourg have taken 7 wins to Auxerre's 3 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 18–7.
What to expect
In our view Strasbourg hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.59), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; Strasbourg 7 wins, 1 draw, Auxerre 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Strasbourg 12–18, Auxerre 12–18.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Strasbourg: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Auxerre will be without: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.88 | 4.16 | 4.16 |
| Market average | 1.85 | 3.91 | 3.98 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.59 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 40.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.41 | 39.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.37 | 39.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Strasbourg 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Strasbourg 13th (10 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Strasbourg 2W 1D 5L (12:18), Auxerre 3W 1D 4L (12:18).
- H2H: 11 matches: Strasbourg 7W 1D 3L, goals 18–7.
- Absences: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: injuries and missing players
Strasbourg
- J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Amo-Ameyawnot in the squad · doubtful
- F. Baldeabsence · doubtful
Auxerre
- A. Diousseknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Fofanagroin injury · will miss the match
- R. Labeau Lascaryinjury · will miss the match
- B. Okohknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Strasbourg
Home and away
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: last matches of both teams
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
StrasbourgLWLLLAuxerreLDWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Auxerre +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.59).
Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Our estimate gives Strasbourg a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Auxerre 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 14:00, venue Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Referee: Guillaume Paradis.
Who will be missing?
Strasbourg: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.66) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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