Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Océane (Le Havre), Le Havre take on Auxerre, with E. Wattellier in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Auxerre win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Auxerre lose.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Le Havre lie 18th, having collected 2 points after 9 matches (0W 2D 7L); Auxerre lie 14th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Auxerre, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Le Havre: no absences. Auxerre will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.34 | 3.60 | 3.22 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.48 | 3.13 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.08 | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.83 | 33.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.28 | 2.22 | 42.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 13:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
- Absences: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.
Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Le Havre vs Auxerre: injuries and missing players
Le Havre
- No reported absences
Auxerre
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Havre
Home and away
Le Havre vs Auxerre: last matches of both teams
Le Havre
Auxerre
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Auxerre +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Our estimate gives Le Havre a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Auxerre 31%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 16:15, venue Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: E. Wattellier.
Who will be missing?
Le Havre: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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