Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg), Strasbourg take on Paris Saint Germain, with Willy Delajod, France in charge. We make Paris Saint Germain (68%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Strasbourg win, a draw, Strasbourg lose by 1. Loses: Strasbourg lose by 2 or more.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Strasbourg lie 13th, having collected 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L); Paris Saint Germain lie 1st, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
What to expect
In our view Paris Saint Germain hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 70%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
- Unavailable: Strasbourg 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Strasbourg: no absences. Paris Saint Germain will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 7.06 | 5.53 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 6.62 | 5.38 | 1.41 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 87.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.31 | 3.17 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 50.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.49 | 37.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 13:36. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Strasbourg 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Strasbourg 13th (10 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Absences: Strasbourg 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: injuries and missing players
Strasbourg
- No reported absences
Paris Saint Germain
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Strasbourg
Home and away
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: last matches of both teams
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Strasbourg +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our estimate gives Strasbourg a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Paris Saint Germain 68%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 16:15, venue Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Referee: Willy Delajod, France.
Who will be missing?
Strasbourg: no absences. Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 70% (odds 1.36) and under 2.5 goals at 30% (odds 3.31).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.4%), then 0–2 (8.5%) and 1–3 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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