Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Sassuolo vs Genoa (Serie A, 22 November 2026, 11:30): Sassuolo +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.61. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.70. The bookmakers' odds give Sassuolo 39%, the draw 28% and Genoa 33%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Sassuolo win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Sassuolo lose.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sassuolo lie 17th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L); Genoa lie 11th, having collected 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Genoa, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Sassuolo 0, Genoa 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.96). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sassuolo: no absences. Genoa will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.48 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.40 | 3.38 | 2.90 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.29 | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.93 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.92 | 50.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.69 | 54.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.06 | 45.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sassuolo 1–1 Genoa, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sassuolo 17th (8 points), Genoa 11th (13 points).
- Absences: Sassuolo 0, Genoa 0.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Genoa?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Sassuolo vs Genoa: injuries and missing players
Sassuolo
- No reported absences
Genoa
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sassuolo
Home and away
Sassuolo vs Genoa: last matches of both teams
Sassuolo
Genoa
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sassuolo vs Genoa?
Sassuolo +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.61); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Sassuolo vs Genoa?
Our estimate gives Sassuolo a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Genoa 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 11:30, venue MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia.
Who will be missing?
Sassuolo: no absences. Genoa: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.99) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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