Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genoa welcome Venezia on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), and the referee is Simone Sozza. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Genoa win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Genoa lose.
Genoa vs Venezia: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Genoa lie 11th, having collected 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L); Venezia lie 19th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Genoa average 0.7 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 0.9 for and 2.3 against for Venezia.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 1W 1D 5L, goals 5–13; Venezia: 1W 0D 6L, goals 6–16.
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Genoa have taken 5 wins to Venezia's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–9.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Genoa 5 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Genoa 5–13, Venezia 6–16.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
- Unavailable: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.89). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Genoa: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Venezia will be without: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Genoa vs Venezia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.28 | 3.35 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.25 | 3.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.01 | 46.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:54. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Genoa 1–1 Venezia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Venezia 19th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 1W 1D 5L (5:13), Venezia 1W 0D 6L (6:16).
- H2H: 9 matches: Genoa 5W 2D 2L, goals 11–9.
- Absences: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Genoa vs Venezia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Genoa vs Venezia: injuries and missing players
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Sowthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Genoa vs Venezia: last matches of both teams
Genoa
Venezia
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWVeneziaWLLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Genoa vs Venezia?
Genoa +0 (Asian handicap) (1.61); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
Our estimate gives Genoa a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Venezia 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Simone Sozza.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.07) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.