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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 21 November 2026 · 19:45

Monaco vs Auxerre: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 November 2026, Ligue 1

LDLDW
VS
LDWLW
1Monaco1.44
XDraw5.34
2Auxerre7.50

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 05:05

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Our tip for Monaco vs Auxerre (Ligue 1, 21 November 2026, 19:45): Auxerre +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.84. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.52. The bookmakers' odds give Monaco 68%, the draw 19% and Auxerre 14%. The most likely score is 2–0.

Monaco vs Auxerre: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Auxerre +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.84
Chance 54% · confidence medium

Wins: Auxerre win, a draw, Auxerre lose by 1. Loses: Auxerre lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.52
Chance 64% · confidence medium
Combo
Monaco with over 2.5 goals
2.06
48% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Monaco or draw (1X) at a probability of 86%, with odds of up to 1.13.
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Monaco vs Auxerre: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Monaco lie 7th, having collected 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L); Auxerre lie 14th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 5L).

What to expect

In our view Monaco hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
  2. Unavailable: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.72). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Monaco: no absences. Auxerre will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Monaco vs Auxerre: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.445.347.50
Market average1.415.047.00
Lowest odds1.364.756.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.521.4963.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.632.6136.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.302.2542.7%
BTTS – yes1.701.6855.4%
BTTS – no2.122.0944.6%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Monaco 2–0 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Monaco 7th (15 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
  • Absences: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

Monaco68%
Draw19%
Auxerre14%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Monaco vs Auxerre: more betting tips

Monaco or draw (1X)86.4% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.7% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Monaco to win67.6% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.7% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.3% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.72
Possible
Both teams to score: yes55.4% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams to score: no44.6% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.12
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals42.7% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.3% · fair odds 2.75 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw18.8% · fair odds 5.31 · best 5.34
Outsider
Auxerre to win13.6% · fair odds 7.36 · best 7.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.9%
1 : 18.5%
3 : 07.9%
3 : 17.5%

Monaco vs Auxerre: injuries and missing players

Monaco

  • No reported absences

Auxerre

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Toulouse103-4-315:1413
11Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
12Lorient93-3-37:812
13Strasbourg103-1-618:2210
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Monaco

5 NovWMonaco 2–0 FC Nordsjælland
1 NovLParis FC 3–1 Monaco
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
22 OctWMonaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
18 OctLLorient 1–0 Monaco

Auxerre

1 NovLStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
18 OctWLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
11 OctLRennes 4–1 Auxerre
20 SeptWAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Home and away

Monaco at home4 matches: 2W 2D 0L, goals 7–4
Auxerre away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–18

Monaco vs Auxerre: last matches of both teams

Monaco

W 5/11/26 · Monaco 2–0 FC Nordsjælland
L 1/11/26 · Paris FC 3–1 Monaco
D 25/10/26 · Monaco 1–1 Lille
W 22/10/26 · Monaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
L 18/10/26 · Lorient 1–0 Monaco

Auxerre

L 1/11/26 · Strasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
D 25/10/26 · Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans
W 18/10/26 · Le Havre 1–3 Auxerre
L 11/10/26 · Rennes 4–1 Auxerre
W 20/9/26 · Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Monaco vs Auxerre?

Auxerre +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

Our estimate gives Monaco a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Auxerre 14%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade Louis II, Monaco.

Who will be missing?

Monaco: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.52) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.63).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.70).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Auxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 NovStade Brestois 29 vs Lyon 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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