Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Eleda Stadion (Malmö), Malmö FF take on Hammarby FF, with Mohammed Al-Hakim in charge. We make Hammarby FF (59%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Hammarby FF win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Hammarby FF win by 1. Loses: a draw, Hammarby FF lose.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Malmö FF lie 7th, having collected 40 points after 27 matches (12W 4D 11L); Hammarby FF lie 1st, having collected 58 points (18W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Malmö FF average 1.6 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 2.1 for and 0.8 against for Hammarby FF.
- Form in the competition. Malmö FF: 12W 4D 10L, goals 41–34; Hammarby FF: 16W 4D 6L, goals 54–21.
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, Malmö FF have taken 10 wins to Hammarby FF's 7 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 42–32.
What to expect
In our view Hammarby FF hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; Malmö FF 10 wins, 6 draws, Hammarby FF 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Malmö FF 41–34, Hammarby FF 54–21.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.78). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Hammarby FF will be without: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.16 | 4.60 | 1.64 |
| Market average | 4.80 | 4.29 | 1.58 |
| Lowest odds | 4.21 | 3.86 | 1.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.78 | 33.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.50 | 36.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 12:06. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Malmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Malmö FF 7th (40 points), Hammarby FF 1st (58 points).
- Form in the competition: Malmö FF 12W 4D 10L (41:34), Hammarby FF 16W 4D 6L (54:21).
- H2H: 23 matches: Malmö FF 10W 6D 7L, goals 42–32.
- Absences: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: injuries and missing players
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- A. Hoognot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lundberghabsence · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- A. Boudrinot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Fofanared card · will miss the match
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Malmö FF
Home and away
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: last matches of both teams
Malmö FF
Hammarby FF
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Malmö FFLWDLWHammarby FFWWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
Our estimate gives Malmö FF a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hammarby FF 59%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 13:00, venue Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim.
Who will be missing?
Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.6%), then 1–1 (8.7%) and 0–2 (7.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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