Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 18:00 at Örjans Vall (Halmstad), Halmstad take on Malmö FF, with Kristoffer Karlsson in charge. We make Malmö FF (57%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Malmö FF win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Malmö FF win by 1. Loses: a draw, Malmö FF lose.
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Halmstad lie 16th, having collected 17 points after 27 matches (4W 5D 18L); Malmö FF lie 7th, having collected 40 points (12W 4D 11L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Halmstad average 0.7 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.4 against for Malmö FF.
- Form in the competition. Halmstad: 4W 5D 16L, goals 18–46; Malmö FF: 11W 4D 10L, goals 38–34.
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Halmstad have taken 0 wins to Malmö FF's 13 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–40.
What to expect
In our view Malmö FF hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Halmstad 0 wins, 2 draws, Malmö FF 13 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Halmstad 18–46, Malmö FF 38–34.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Halmstad 0, Malmö FF 7.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.61). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Halmstad: no absences. Malmö FF will be without: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, O. Sjostrand. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.75 | 4.38 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 4.59 | 4.11 | 1.67 |
| Lowest odds | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.58 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.46 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Halmstad 1–1 Malmö FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Halmstad 16th (17 points), Malmö FF 7th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Halmstad 4W 5D 16L (18:46), Malmö FF 11W 4D 10L (38:34).
- H2H: 15 matches: Halmstad 0W 2D 13L, goals 5–40.
- Absences: Halmstad 0, Malmö FF 7.
Who will win Halmstad vs Malmö FF?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: injuries and missing players
Halmstad
- No reported absences
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- A. Hoognot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Halmstad
Home and away
Halmstad vs Malmö FF: last matches of both teams
Halmstad
Malmö FF
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
HalmstadLLWLLMalmö FFLWDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Halmstad vs Malmö FF?
Malmö FF -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Halmstad vs Malmö FF?
Our estimate gives Halmstad a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malmö FF 57%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Örjans Vall, Halmstad. Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson.
Who will be missing?
Halmstad: no absences. Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, O. Sjostrand. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.61) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.2%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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