Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
IF Elfsborg welcome Malmö FF on 23 October 2026 · 18:00 at Borås Arena (Boras), and the referee is Granit Maqedonci, Sweden. IF Elfsborg (46%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. IF Elfsborg lie 5th, having collected 46 points after 28 matches (12W 10D 6L); Malmö FF lie 7th, having collected 40 points (12W 4D 11L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, IF Elfsborg average 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.4 against for Malmö FF.
- Form in the competition. IF Elfsborg: 11W 8D 5L, goals 37–24; Malmö FF: 11W 3D 10L, goals 38–34.
- Head to head. In 24 previous meetings, IF Elfsborg have taken 5 wins to Malmö FF's 15 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–40.
What to expect
In our view IF Elfsborg hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 24; IF Elfsborg 5 wins, 4 draws, Malmö FF 15 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: IF Elfsborg 37–24, Malmö FF 38–34.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: IF Elfsborg 3, Malmö FF 7.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg, M. Rohden. Malmö FF will be without: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, Y. Karabelyov, O. Sjostrand. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.07 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.69 | 3.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.66 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.63 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 16:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: IF Elfsborg 1–1 Malmö FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points), Malmö FF 7th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: IF Elfsborg 11W 8D 5L (37:24), Malmö FF 11W 3D 10L (38:34).
- H2H: 24 matches: IF Elfsborg 5W 4D 15L, goals 22–40.
- Absences: IF Elfsborg 3, Malmö FF 7.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: injuries and missing players
IF Elfsborg
- V. Elfstromnot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Haggnot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Rohdenmuscle injury · will miss the match
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- Y. Karabelyovnot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
IF Elfsborg
Home and away
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: last matches of both teams
IF Elfsborg
Malmö FF
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
IF ElfsborgLWDDDMalmö FFLWDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
Draw or Malmö FF (X2) (1.82); Under 3.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
Our estimate gives IF Elfsborg a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Malmö FF 28%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Borås Arena, Boras. Referee: Granit Maqedonci, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg, M. Rohden. Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, Y. Karabelyov, O. Sjostrand. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.3%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.