Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: prediction with odds, 6/11/26

Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Updated 6/11/26, 16:02

On 6 November 2026 · 18:00 at 3Arena (Stockholm), Hammarby FF take on IF Elfsborg, with Kristoffer Karlsson in charge. We make Hammarby FF (70%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: tip and prediction

Main tip · Handicap

IF Elfsborg +1.5 (Asian handicap)

1.97

Chance 50% · confidence medium

Wins: IF Elfsborg win, a draw, IF Elfsborg lose by 1. Loses: IF Elfsborg lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals

Over 2.5 goals

1.54

Chance 62% · confidence medium

Combo

Hammarby FF with over 2.5 goals

2.00

50% · combo fair odds

2–0likely score

≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

Safer option: Hammarby FF or draw (1X) at a probability of 88%, with odds of up to 1.10.

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Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

Table. Hammarby FF lie 1st, having collected 58 points after 28 matches (18W 4D 6L); IF Elfsborg lie 5th, having collected 46 points (12W 10D 6L).
Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Hammarby FF average 2.1 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.0 against for IF Elfsborg.
Form in the competition. Hammarby FF: 17W 4D 6L, goals 56–22; IF Elfsborg: 12W 10D 5L, goals 41–27.
Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Hammarby FF have taken 9 wins to IF Elfsborg's 7 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 33–29.

What to expect

In our view Hammarby FF hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.54), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.

The prediction at a glance

Meetings: 22; Hammarby FF 9 wins, 6 draws, IF Elfsborg 7 wins.
Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
Scored and conceded in this competition: Hammarby FF 56–22, IF Elfsborg 41–27.
Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Unavailable: Hammarby FF 2, IF Elfsborg 3.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, B. Hedlof. IF Elfsborg will be without: V. Elfstrom, P. Frick, L. Hagg. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result	1	X	2
Top price available	1.36	5.56	8.50
Market average	1.32	5.20	7.95
Lowest odds	1.30	5.00	7.34

Goals	Best	Average	Chance
Over 1.5 goals	1.17	1.13	82.1%
Over 2.5 goals	1.54	1.49	62.4%
Under 2.5 goals	2.55	2.47	37.6%
Over 3.5 goals	2.36	2.26	41.5%
BTTS – yes	1.80	1.78	52.1%
BTTS – no	1.95	1.93	47.9%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 16:02. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

Likely result: Hammarby FF 2–0 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
Table: Hammarby FF 1st (58 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
Form in the competition: Hammarby FF 17W 4D 6L (56:22), IF Elfsborg 12W 10D 5L (41:27).
H2H: 22 matches: Hammarby FF 9W 6D 7L, goals 33–29.
Absences: Hammarby FF 2, IF Elfsborg 3.

Who will win Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?

Hammarby FF70%

Draw18%

IF Elfsborg12%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: more betting tips

Hammarby FF or draw (1X)88.3% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.10

Likely

Over 1.5 goals82.1% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17

Likely

Hammarby FF to win70.4% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36

Likely

Over 2.5 goals62.4% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.54

Likely

Under 3.5 goals58.5% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62

Possible

Both teams to score: yes52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.80

Possible

Both teams to score: no47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 1.95

Outsider

Over 3.5 goals41.5% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.36

Outsider

Under 2.5 goals37.6% · fair odds 2.66 · best 2.55

Outsider

Draw17.9% · fair odds 5.59 · best 5.56

Outsider

IF Elfsborg to win11.7% · fair odds 8.52 · best 8.50

Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners

Over 1.89 · Under 1.85

probability of over 49.5%

Correct score tips

2 : 011.3%

1 : 09.6%

2 : 19.6%

3 : 08.8%

1 : 18.1%

3 : 17.5%

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: injuries and missing players

Hammarby FF

A. Boudrinot in the squad · will miss the match
B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match

IF Elfsborg

V. Elfstromnot in the squad · will miss the match
P. Fricknot in the squad · will miss the match
L. Haggnot in the squad · will miss the match

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#	Team	P	W-D-L	Goals	Pts
1	Hammarby FF	28	18-4-6	60:23	58
2	Sirius	27	18-4-5	58:34	58
3	Djurgårdens IF	27	16-4-7	55:25	52
4	BK Häcken	27	13-10-4	48:30	49
5	IF Elfsborg	28	12-10-6	42:31	46
6	Västerås SK FK	27	13-5-9	40:38	44
7	Malmö FF	27	12-4-11	42:36	40
8	AIK Stockholm	27	10-8-9	43:47	38
9	IFK Göteborg	27	10-8-9	36:46	38
10	Gais	27	10-7-10	34:27	37
11	IF Brommapojkarna	27	9-7-11	39:44	34
12	Mjällby AIF	27	6-9-12	30:43	27
13	Kalmar FF	27	6-5-16	23:42	23
14	Degerfors IF	27	5-5-17	22:46	20
15	Örgryte IS	27	4-7-16	33:60	19
16	Halmstad	27	4-5-18	18:51	17

Recent matches

Hammarby FF

6 NovWHammarby FF 4–1 IF Elfsborg

1 NovWMalmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF

29 OctWHammarby FF 2–0 Sirius

25 OctWMjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF

18 OctWHalmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF

IF Elfsborg

6 NovLHammarby FF 4–1 IF Elfsborg

1 NovWIF Elfsborg 2–1 Örgryte IS

27 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg

23 OctDIF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF

18 OctDSirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg

Home and away

Hammarby FF at home14 matches: 11W 1D 2L, goals 40–8

IF Elfsborg away14 matches: 4W 6D 4L, goals 19–21

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: last matches of both teams

Hammarby FF

W 1/11/26 · Malmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF

W 29/10/26 · Hammarby FF 2–0 Sirius

W 25/10/26 · Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF

W 18/10/26 · Halmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF

IF Elfsborg

W 1/11/26 · IF Elfsborg 2–1 Örgryte IS

D 27/10/26 · AIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg

D 23/10/26 · IF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF

D 18/10/26 · Sirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg

Team comparison

Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg

57%Form43%

41%Attack59%

71%Defence29%

93%Head to head7%

91%Goals9%

72.2%Overall27.8%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Hammarby FFWWWWW

IF ElfsborgLWDDD

Head to head

All matches

9Hammarby FF

6Draws

7IF Elfsborg

5/7/26 · IF Elfsborg 1–2 Hammarby FF

9/11/25 · Hammarby FF 3–0 IF Elfsborg

31/5/25 · IF Elfsborg 0–2 Hammarby FF

22/9/24 · IF Elfsborg 0–0 Hammarby FF

15/4/24 · Hammarby FF 3–0 IF Elfsborg

13/8/23 · Hammarby FF 1–0 IF Elfsborg

Returns calculator

Stake (£)

Odds

Potential return0 £

Net profit0 £

Implied probability0%

Market margin7.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?

IF Elfsborg +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Over 2.5 goals (1.54).

Who will win Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?

Our estimate gives Hammarby FF a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and IF Elfsborg 12%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 18:00, venue 3Arena, Stockholm. Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson.

Who will be missing?

Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, B. Hedlof. IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, P. Frick, L. Hagg. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.54) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.80).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (11.3%), then 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK 7 Nov Degerfors IF vs Gais 7 Nov IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF 8 Nov Halmstad vs Djurgårdens IF 8 Nov IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: prediction, odds and betting tip – 6 November 2026, Allsvenskan

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

What to expect

The prediction at a glance

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Absences

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: bookmaker odds side by side

The key facts

Who will win Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: more betting tips

Corners and cards betting

Correct score tips

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: injuries and missing players

Hammarby FF

IF Elfsborg

Standings and form

Recent matches

Hammarby FF

IF Elfsborg

Home and away

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: last matches of both teams

Hammarby FF

IF Elfsborg

Team comparison

Form in the competition

Head to head

Returns calculator

Questions and answers

More predictions