Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hammarby FF welcome Sirius on 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at 3Arena (Stockholm), and the referee is Glenn Nyberg. Hammarby FF (65%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Sirius win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Sirius lose by 1. Loses: Sirius lose by 2 or more.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Hammarby FF lie 1st, having collected 58 points after 28 matches (18W 4D 6L); Sirius lie 2nd, having collected 58 points (18W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Hammarby FF average 2.1 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 2.2 for and 1.3 against for Sirius.
- Form in the competition. Hammarby FF: 15W 4D 6L, goals 52–21; Sirius: 17W 4D 4L, goals 56–32.
- Head to head. In 26 previous meetings, Hammarby FF have taken 16 wins to Sirius's 3 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 53–28.
What to expect
In our view Hammarby FF hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 26; Hammarby FF 16 wins, 7 draws, Sirius 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Hammarby FF 52–21, Sirius 56–32.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Sirius will be without: O. Liimatta. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.47 | 5.01 | 6.49 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.65 | 6.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.39 | 5.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.42 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.27 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.13 | 43.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 16:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Hammarby FF 2–1 Sirius, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hammarby FF 1st (58 points), Sirius 2nd (58 points).
- Form in the competition: Hammarby FF 15W 4D 6L (52:21), Sirius 17W 4D 4L (56:32).
- H2H: 26 matches: Hammarby FF 16W 7D 3L, goals 53–28.
- Absences: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: injuries and missing players
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Sirius
- O. Liimattainjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 | Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Hammarby FF
Home and away
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: last matches of both teams
Hammarby FF
Sirius
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Hammarby FFWWWWWSiriusWLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Sirius +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Our estimate gives Hammarby FF a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sirius 15%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 17:30, venue 3Arena, Stockholm. Referee: Glenn Nyberg.
Who will be missing?
Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Sirius: O. Liimatta. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.54).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 2–0 (9.9%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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