Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sirius welcome AIK Stockholm on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Studenternas IP (Uppsala), and the referee is Adam Ladebäck. Sirius (60%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: AIK Stockholm win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): AIK Stockholm lose by 1. Loses: AIK Stockholm lose by 2 or more.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sirius lie 2nd, having collected 58 points after 27 matches (18W 4D 5L); AIK Stockholm lie 8th, having collected 38 points (10W 8D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Sirius average 2.3 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.8 against for AIK Stockholm.
- Form in the competition. Sirius: 17W 4D 3L, goals 55–30; AIK Stockholm: 9W 7D 8L, goals 38–42.
- Head to head. In 24 previous meetings, Sirius have taken 4 wins to AIK Stockholm's 13 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 27–37.
What to expect
In our view Sirius hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 24; Sirius 4 wins, 7 draws, AIK Stockholm 13 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Sirius 55–30, AIK Stockholm 38–42.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
- Unavailable: Sirius 0, AIK Stockholm 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sirius: no absences. AIK Stockholm will be without: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.59 | 4.69 | 5.19 |
| Market average | 1.54 | 4.47 | 5.01 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.16 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sirius 2–1 AIK Stockholm, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sirius 2nd (58 points), AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points).
- Form in the competition: Sirius 17W 4D 3L (55:30), AIK Stockholm 9W 7D 8L (38:42).
- H2H: 24 matches: Sirius 4W 7D 13L, goals 27–37.
- Absences: Sirius 0, AIK Stockholm 6.
Who will win Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: injuries and missing players
Sirius
- No reported absences
AIK Stockholm
- D. Besirovicthigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Cisseankle injury · will miss the match
- K. Fillingknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Helmknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Papagiannopoulosknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Redkinknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 | Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Sirius
Home and away
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: last matches of both teams
Sirius
AIK Stockholm
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SiriusWLLDWAIK StockholmLDWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
AIK Stockholm +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
Our estimate gives Sirius a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AIK Stockholm 19%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Referee: Adam Ladebäck.
Who will be missing?
Sirius: no absences. AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.8%), then 1–1 (9.1%) and 2–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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