Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg, 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Strawberry Arena (Solna), with Sars Joakim officiating. The odds point to IF Elfsborg (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. AIK Stockholm lie 8th, having collected 38 points after 27 matches (10W 8D 9L); IF Elfsborg lie 5th, having collected 46 points (12W 10D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, AIK Stockholm average 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.0 against for IF Elfsborg.
- Form in the competition. AIK Stockholm: 10W 7D 8L, goals 40–43; IF Elfsborg: 11W 9D 5L, goals 37–24.
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, AIK Stockholm have taken 10 wins to IF Elfsborg's 6 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 40–34.
What to expect
In our view IF Elfsborg hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; AIK Stockholm 10 wins, 7 draws, IF Elfsborg 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: AIK Stockholm 40–43, IF Elfsborg 37–24.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. IF Elfsborg will be without: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.57 | 3.90 | 2.16 |
| Market average | 3.37 | 3.71 | 1.97 |
| Lowest odds | 2.96 | 3.29 | 1.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.56 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.35 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.34 | 39.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 16:02. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: AIK Stockholm 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
- Form in the competition: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 8L (40:43), IF Elfsborg 11W 9D 5L (37:24).
- H2H: 23 matches: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 6L, goals 40–34.
- Absences: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: injuries and missing players
AIK Stockholm
- D. Besirovicthigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Cisseankle injury · will miss the match
- K. Fillingknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Helmknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Papagiannopoulosknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Redkinknee injury · will miss the match
IF Elfsborg
- V. Elfstromnot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Haggnot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 | |
| 2 | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 | |
| 3 | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 | |
| 4 | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 | |
| 5 | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 | |
| 6 | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 | |
| 7 | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 | |
| 9 | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 | |
| 10 | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 | |
| 11 | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 | |
| 12 | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 | |
| 13 | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 | |
| 14 | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 | |
| 15 | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 | |
| 16 | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
AIK Stockholm
Home and away
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: last matches of both teams
AIK Stockholm
IF Elfsborg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
AIK Stockholm or draw (1X) (1.87); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
Our estimate gives AIK Stockholm a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and IF Elfsborg 47%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Strawberry Arena, Solna. Referee: Sars Joakim.
Who will be missing?
AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.63) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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