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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25 · 25 October 2026 · 15:30

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: prediction, odds and betting tip – 25 October 2026, Allsvenskan

1Mjällby AIF6.99
XDraw4.83
2Hammarby FF1.45

Top price available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:03

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 25 October 2026 · 15:30 at Strandvallen (Hällevik), Mjällby AIF take on Hammarby FF, with Victor Wolf in charge. We make Hammarby FF (66%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Mjällby AIF +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.91
Chance 50% · confidence medium

Wins: Mjällby AIF win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Mjällby AIF lose by 1. Loses: Mjällby AIF lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.58
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
Hammarby FF with over 2.5 goals
2.17
46% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Hammarby FF (X2) at a probability of 86%, with odds of up to 1.13.
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Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Mjällby AIF lie 12th, having collected 27 points after 27 matches (6W 9D 12L); Hammarby FF lie 1st, having collected 58 points (18W 4D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Mjällby AIF average 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 2.1 for and 0.9 against for Hammarby FF.
  3. Form in the competition. Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 11L, goals 28–40; Hammarby FF: 14W 4D 6L, goals 50–21.
  4. Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Mjällby AIF have taken 7 wins to Hammarby FF's 8 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 18–27.

What to expect

In our view Hammarby FF hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.58), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 17; Mjällby AIF 7 wins, 2 draws, Hammarby FF 8 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Mjällby AIF 28–40, Hammarby FF 50–21.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
  5. Unavailable: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF will be without: B. Hedlof. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available6.994.831.45
Market average6.584.641.42
Lowest odds6.454.401.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1680.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.581.5360.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.452.3739.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.462.3639.7%
BTTS – yes1.751.7154.4%
BTTS – no2.102.0445.6%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points), Hammarby FF 1st (58 points).
  • Form in the competition: Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 11L (28:40), Hammarby FF 14W 4D 6L (50:21).
  • H2H: 17 matches: Mjällby AIF 7W 2D 8L, goals 18–27.
  • Absences: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?

Mjällby AIF14%
Draw20%
Hammarby FF66%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: more betting tips

Draw or Hammarby FF (X2)85.8% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals80.6% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Hammarby FF to win65.7% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.45
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.58
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.3% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams to score: yes54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams to score: no45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.7% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.46
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.3% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Draw20.1% · fair odds 4.97 · best 4.83
Outsider
Mjällby AIF to win14.2% · fair odds 7.05 · best 6.99
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.9%

Correct score tips

0 : 210.4%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 19.4%
1 : 19.0%
0 : 37.6%
1 : 37.2%

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: injuries and missing players

Mjällby AIF

  • V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
  • M. Isakssonnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
  • L. Tidstrandabsence · will miss the match

Hammarby FF

  • B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Hammarby FF2818-4-660:2358
2Sirius2718-4-558:3458
3Djurgårdens IF2716-4-755:2552
4BK Häcken2713-10-448:3049
5IF Elfsborg2812-10-642:3146
6Västerås SK FK2713-5-940:3844
7Malmö FF2712-4-1142:3640
8AIK Stockholm2710-8-943:4738
9IFK Göteborg2710-8-936:4638
10Gais2710-7-1034:2737
11IF Brommapojkarna279-7-1139:4434
12Mjällby AIF276-9-1230:4327
13Kalmar FF276-5-1623:4223
14Degerfors IF275-5-1722:4620
15Örgryte IS274-7-1633:6019
16Halmstad274-5-1818:5117

Recent matches

Mjällby AIF

5 NovWMjällby AIF 2–0 Borac Banja Luka
2 NovDMjällby AIF 0–0 Kalmar FF
29 OctWÖrgryte IS 1–2 Mjällby AIF
25 OctLMjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF
22 OctDFC Iberia 1999 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Hammarby FF

6 NovWHammarby FF 4–1 IF Elfsborg
1 NovWMalmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF
29 OctWHammarby FF 2–0 Sirius
25 OctWMjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF
18 OctWHalmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF

Home and away

Mjällby AIF at home14 matches: 3W 3D 8L, goals 12–21
Hammarby FF away14 matches: 7W 3D 4L, goals 20–15

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: last matches of both teams

Mjällby AIF

W 5/11/26 · Mjällby AIF 2–0 Borac Banja Luka
D 2/11/26 · Mjällby AIF 0–0 Kalmar FF
W 29/10/26 · Örgryte IS 1–2 Mjällby AIF
D 22/10/26 · FC Iberia 1999 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Hammarby FF

W 6/11/26 · Hammarby FF 4–1 IF Elfsborg
W 1/11/26 · Malmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF
W 29/10/26 · Hammarby FF 2–0 Sirius
W 18/10/26 · Halmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF

Team comparison

Mjällby AIFHammarby FF
23%Form77%
33%Attack67%
30%Defence70%
60%Head to head40%
44%Goals56%
36.8%Overall63.2%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Mjällby AIFDWLLD
Hammarby FFWWWWW

Head to head

All matches
7Mjällby AIF
2Draws
8Hammarby FF
25/10/26 · Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF
14/5/26 · Mjällby AIF 2–1 Hammarby FF
4/4/26 · Hammarby FF 3–0 Mjällby AIF
22/5/25 · Hammarby FF 1–2 Mjällby AIF
18/4/25 · Mjällby AIF 3–1 Hammarby FF
28/7/24 · Hammarby FF 3–0 Mjällby AIF

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?

Mjällby AIF +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Over 2.5 goals (1.58).

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?

Our estimate gives Mjällby AIF a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hammarby FF 66%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Strandvallen, Hällevik. Referee: Victor Wolf.

Who will be missing?

Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.58) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.45).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–2 (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK 7 NovDegerfors IF vs Gais 7 NovIFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF 8 NovHalmstad vs Djurgårdens IF 8 NovIF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.