Our tip for Lille vs Lyon (Ligue 1, 21 November 2026, 19:45): Lille +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.77. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.73. The bookmakers' odds give Lille 41%, the draw 28% and Lyon 32%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Lille win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Lille lose.
Lille vs Lyon: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lille lie 2nd, having collected 18 points after 9 matches (5W 3D 1L); Lyon lie 3rd, having collected 17 points (5W 2D 2L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.2%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Lille 0, Lyon 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lille: no absences. Lyon will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lille vs Lyon: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.41 | 3.66 | 3.09 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.44 | 3.00 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.92 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.93 | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 29.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.08 | 44.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Lyon, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Lyon 3rd (17 points).
- Absences: Lille 0, Lyon 0.
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lille vs Lyon: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Lille vs Lyon: injuries and missing players
Lille
- No reported absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lille
Home and away
Lille vs Lyon: last matches of both teams
Lille
Lyon
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lille vs Lyon?
Lille +0 (Asian handicap) (1.77); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
Our estimate gives Lille a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lyon 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.
Who will be missing?
Lille: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.95) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.99).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.2%), then 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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