Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon, 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim), with Halil Umut Meler officiating. The odds point to 1899 Hoffenheim (49%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Lyon win, a draw. Loses: Lyon lose.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. 1899 Hoffenheim lie 23rd, having collected 4 points after 4 matches (1W 1D 2L); Lyon lie 13th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim have taken 1 win to Lyon's 0 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 10–7.
What to expect
In our view 1899 Hoffenheim hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.47), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 4; 1899 Hoffenheim 1 win, 3 draws, Lyon 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
- Unavailable: 1899 Hoffenheim 0, Lyon 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 64%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Lyon will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.03 | 4.20 | 3.73 |
| Market average | 1.94 | 4.02 | 3.49 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.69 | 3.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.47 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.20 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.65 | 35.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 Lyon, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 23rd (4 points), Lyon 13th (7 points).
- H2H: 4 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 3D 0L, goals 10–7.
- Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 0, Lyon 0.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: injuries and missing players
1899 Hoffenheim
- No reported absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
1899 Hoffenheim
Home and away
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: last matches of both teams
1899 Hoffenheim
Lyon
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Lyon +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.99); Both teams to score (1.47).
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Our estimate gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lyon 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: Halil Umut Meler.
Who will be missing?
1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.53) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.47).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.8%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (7.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.