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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction, odds and betting tip – 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Crystal Palace1.81
XDraw4.30
21899 Hoffenheim4.24

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 16:17

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Crystal Palace welcome 1899 Hoffenheim on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Selhurst Park (London), and the referee is Horațiu Feșnic. Crystal Palace (54%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.78
Chance 56% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Crystal Palace to win
1.81
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Combo
Crystal Palace with over 2.5 goals
2.57
39% · combo fair odds
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Crystal Palace or draw (1X) at a probability of 77%, with odds of up to 1.26.
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Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Crystal Palace lie 21st, having collected 5 points after 4 matches (1W 2D 1L); 1899 Hoffenheim lie 23rd, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Crystal Palace average 2.7 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.7 for and 1.7 against for 1899 Hoffenheim.
  3. Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 1W 1D 1L, goals 8–5; 1899 Hoffenheim: 1W 0D 2L, goals 5–5.

What to expect

In our view Crystal Palace hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Scored and conceded in this competition: Crystal Palace 8–5, 1899 Hoffenheim 5–5.
  2. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
  3. Unavailable: Crystal Palace 9, 1899 Hoffenheim 8.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 64%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Crystal Palace: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber. 1899 Hoffenheim will be without: B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.814.304.24
Market average1.774.134.09
Lowest odds1.733.903.81
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.161.1283.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.511.4564.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.802.6935.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.252.1544.3%
BTTS – yes1.501.4464.5%
BTTS – no2.802.6235.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Crystal Palace 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Crystal Palace 21st (5 points), 1899 Hoffenheim 23rd (4 points).
  • Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 1W 1D 1L (8:5), 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 2L (5:5).
  • Absences: Crystal Palace 9, 1899 Hoffenheim 8.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Crystal Palace54%
Draw23%
1899 Hoffenheim23%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals83.5% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.16
Likely
Crystal Palace or draw (1X)76.7% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Over 2.5 goals64.9% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.51
Likely
Both teams to score: yes64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals55.7% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.78
Possible
Crystal Palace to win53.7% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.81
Possible
Over 3.5 goals44.3% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.25
Outsider
Both teams to score: no35.5% · fair odds 2.81 · best 2.80
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals35.1% · fair odds 2.85 · best 2.80
Outsider
1899 Hoffenheim to win23.3% · fair odds 4.30 · best 4.24
Outsider
Draw23.1% · fair odds 4.33 · best 4.30
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.95
probability of over 51.8%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.2%

Correct score tips

2 : 19.6%
1 : 19.6%
2 : 07.4%
1 : 07.4%
3 : 16.4%
2 : 26.2%

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: injuries and missing players

Crystal Palace

  • C. Doucourenot in the squad · will miss the match
  • Z. Gozonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • E. Guessandnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. Lermanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
  • T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
  • J. Larsenankle injury · doubtful
  • I. Sarrgroin injury · doubtful
  • Q. Timberhamstring injury · doubtful

1899 Hoffenheim

  • B. Contegroin injury · will miss the match
  • N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
  • L. Engelnsnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • V. Gendreyankle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
  • R. Hranacknee injury · will miss the match
  • P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
  • V. Coufalmuscle injury · doubtful

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica44-0-013:312
2Bournemouth44-0-011:212
3Ferencvárosi TC44-0-011:312
4Union Saint-Gilloise43-1-010:210
5Juventus43-1-011:410
6Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
7Bayer Leverkusen43-0-18:19
8Beşiktaş42-1-111:87
9Dinamo Zagreb42-1-15:47
10Levski Sofia42-1-14:37
11Sunderland42-1-14:47
12NEC Nijmegen42-1-18:97
13Lyon42-1-16:77
14AZ Alkmaar42-0-27:46
15Anderlecht42-0-26:36
16OFI42-0-25:46
17Rennes41-3-04:36
18Omonia Nicosia42-0-26:76
19Torreense42-0-27:96
20Real Sociedad41-2-19:45
21Crystal Palace41-2-19:65
22Sparta Praha41-1-26:64
231899 Hoffenheim41-1-26:64
24Sturm Graz41-1-23:64
25Celje41-1-25:94
26Red Bull Salzburg41-1-23:84
27Celta Vigo41-0-34:63
28AC Milan41-0-34:73
29Jagiellonia41-0-34:73
30Plzeň41-0-33:73
31Marseille41-0-32:63
32Celtic41-0-36:113
33Hapoel Beer Sheva40-1-31:81
34Lillestrøm40-1-32:101
35Lech Poznań40-1-32:121
36Ararat-Armenia40-0-44:140

Recent matches

Crystal Palace

5 NovDCrystal Palace 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
31 OctLTottenham 2–0 Crystal Palace
25 OctLCrystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle
22 OctDBeşiktaş 2–2 Crystal Palace
18 OctLBrighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

1899 Hoffenheim

5 NovDCrystal Palace 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
31 OctLWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
25 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim

Home and away

Crystal Palace at home2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 5–1
1899 Hoffenheim away2 matches: 0W 1D 1L, goals 1–3

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: last matches of both teams

Crystal Palace

L 31/10/26 · Tottenham 2–0 Crystal Palace
L 25/10/26 · Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle
D 22/10/26 · Beşiktaş 2–2 Crystal Palace
L 18/10/26 · Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

1899 Hoffenheim

L 31/10/26 · Werder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
W 25/10/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
W 22/10/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
W 18/10/26 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim

Team comparison

Crystal Palace1899 Hoffenheim
57%Form43%
62%Attack38%
50%Defence50%
56.3%Overall43.7%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Crystal PalaceDDLW
1899 HoffenheimDWLL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Under 3.5 goals (1.78); Crystal Palace to win (1.81).

Who will win Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our estimate gives Crystal Palace a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and 1899 Hoffenheim 23%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Selhurst Park, London. Referee: Horațiu Feșnic.

Who will be missing?

Crystal Palace: C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber. 1899 Hoffenheim: B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.51) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.80).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–1 (9.6%), then 1–1 (9.6%) and 2–0 (7.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.