Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Amex Stadium (Brighton), Brighton take on Crystal Palace, with R. Jones in charge. We make Brighton (66%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Brighton lie 3rd, having collected 19 points after 9 matches (6W 1D 2L); Crystal Palace lie 18th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 6L).
What to expect
In our view Brighton hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Brighton: no absences. Crystal Palace will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.51 | 4.93 | 7.07 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 4.77 | 6.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.36 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Brighton 2–0 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Brighton 3rd (19 points), Crystal Palace 18th (7 points).
- Absences: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: injuries and missing players
Brighton
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Brighton
Home and away
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: last matches of both teams
Brighton
Crystal Palace
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our estimate gives Brighton a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Crystal Palace 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Amex Stadium, Brighton. Referee: R. Jones.
Who will be missing?
Brighton: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.51).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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