Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle, 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Selhurst Park (London), with P. Tierney officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Newcastle win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Newcastle lose.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Crystal Palace lie 18th, having collected 7 points after 9 matches (2W 1D 6L); Newcastle lie 13th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Crystal Palace average 1.3 goals for and 2.4 against, compared with 1.4 for and 2.0 against for Newcastle.
- Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 2W 1D 4L, goals 9–17; Newcastle: 2W 2D 3L, goals 10–14.
- Head to head. In 27 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have taken 6 wins to Newcastle's 12 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–36.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Newcastle, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 27; Crystal Palace 6 wins, 9 draws, Newcastle 12 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Crystal Palace 9–17, Newcastle 10–14.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Alternative tip: Crystal Palace or draw (1X)
Another angle: Crystal Palace or draw (1X) (probability 64%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle will be without: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.71 | 3.65 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.53 | 2.62 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.51 | 37.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Crystal Palace 18th (7 points), Newcastle 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 2W 1D 4L (9:17), Newcastle 2W 2D 3L (10:14).
- H2H: 27 matches: Crystal Palace 6W 9D 12L, goals 22–36.
- Absences: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: injuries and missing players
Crystal Palace
- C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
- D. Hendersonfoot injury · doubtful
- J. Larseninjury · doubtful
- Q. Timberinjury · doubtful
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Elangaknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ramseythigh injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace
Home and away
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: last matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Crystal PalaceLLLWDNewcastleLWLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Newcastle +0 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Our estimate gives Crystal Palace a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Newcastle 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Selhurst Park, London. Referee: P. Tierney.
Who will be missing?
Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.