Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Brighton, 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Anfield (Liverpool), with S. Barrott officiating. The odds point to Liverpool (46%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Liverpool win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Liverpool lose.
Liverpool vs Brighton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Liverpool lie 6th, having collected 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L); Brighton lie 3rd, having collected 19 points (6W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Liverpool average 1.3 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 3.3 for and 0.7 against for Brighton.
- Form in the competition. Liverpool: 3W 3D 1L, goals 9–8; Brighton: 5W 1D 1L, goals 23–5.
- Head to head. In 24 previous meetings, Liverpool have taken 15 wins to Brighton's 5 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 52–28.
What to expect
In our view Liverpool hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Brighton, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 24; Liverpool 15 wins, 4 draws, Brighton 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Liverpool 9–8, Brighton 23–5.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton will be without: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Liverpool vs Brighton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.15 | 4.04 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.09 | 3.86 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 6th (15 points), Brighton 3rd (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Liverpool 3W 3D 1L (9:8), Brighton 5W 1D 1L (23:5).
- H2H: 24 matches: Liverpool 15W 4D 5L, goals 52–28.
- Absences: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Liverpool vs Brighton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Liverpool vs Brighton: injuries and missing players
Liverpool
- C. Bradleyknee injury · will miss the match
- H. EkitikeAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Frimpongmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Leoniknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Nalloabsence · will miss the match
- D. Szoboszlaimuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Munozknee injury · doubtful
Brighton
- F. Azeezabsence · will miss the match
- E. Fergusonankle injury · will miss the match
- Y. Mintehinjury · will miss the match
- K. Mitomahamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Tzimasknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Wiefferknee injury · will miss the match
- Z. Yohannainjury · will miss the match
- P. Struijkabsence · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Brighton: last matches of both teams
Liverpool
Brighton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LiverpoolLWWLWBrightonWLWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Liverpool vs Brighton?
Liverpool +0 (Asian handicap) (1.64); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our estimate gives Liverpool a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brighton 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Anfield, Liverpool. Referee: S. Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (7.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.